FidelityConnects: Opportunities in global high yield
Find out where Peter Khan, Portfolio Manager, is finding high-yield bond opportunities around the world in today’s market environment, including his overall bond market outlook as we wrap up 2025.
Transcript
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Hello, and welcome to Fidelity Connects.
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I'm Pamela Ritchie. Yesterday's sharp sell-off on Wall
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Street has investors rushing to safer assets, like Treasuries,
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pushing yields a bit lower.
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Even so credit fundamentals remain solid with tighter
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spreads and strong demand for yield.
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At the same time our next guest notes that we're also seeing
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growing dispersion and some early signs of stress in
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parts of the loan market.
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What's really driving this push and pull in credit right
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now, and where should investors be looking if conditions
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become more volatile?
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Joining us here today to break it all down is fixed income
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portfolio manager, Peter Khan.
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Welcome, great to see you, Peter.
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Nice to be here, Pamela.
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Thanks for having me.
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Delighted to have you here. It's Friday, Happy Friday to
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everyone. Do send questions in for Peter over the next 30
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minutes or so.
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Let's begin with data centres, what's
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funding them. Lots of debt being demanded
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at this point.
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We just look to you for your moment in the markets here right
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now because we've got you seated here and you're a trader.
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You're trading this stuff. What's going on out there?
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Well, it's a good time to be a trader because there's a lot of
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volatility in the markets at the moment.
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There's also a lot of uncertainty about how many
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of these data centre models are going to be
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required in 3, 5 or 10 years' time.
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The projections at the moment are just astronomical, as you
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well know, Pamela, about the degree of
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capital expenditure that's going to required for the
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hyperscalers et al to achieve their dreams.
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We're talking trillions of dollars over the
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course of the next few years.
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It's not so
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easy to find trillions of dollars in one place only
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so sponsors and companies have been assiduously
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courting investors for a few
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months now but really is...
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All kinds of investors.
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All kinds of investors, in style, in investment grade
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credit, asset-backed credit, high-yield credit, private
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credit, all of these channels need to be,
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for lack of a better term, exploited.
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I mean, I kind of want to say used and abused by
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those who are trying to achieve
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the buildout.
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We've seen a lot of activity in every corner of
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the market, particularly in last couple of months.
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Some of...
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Tell us about that, there's a really big one out there that
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... would it have caught you off guard even?
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I mean, this is what you do every day and have for your career
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but it was a big bond sale.
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For sure. What you're referring to is obviously
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the beignet, I hope I said that right--
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Yeah, I do too because I couldn't correct you.
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--finance deal. It's a JV
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from Meta and Blue Owl, which is a
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large private credit investor.
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It was cheekily named because the data centres are based in
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Louisiana, so a reference to the famous Café Du Monde down in
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New Orleans.
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They certainly offered quite a sugar rush to investors because
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what came was a $27 billion investment grade deal,
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one of the largest single tranche investment grade deals that
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we've seen in history, not just this year.
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Very uncharacteristically it went up 10 points.
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That's not your garden variety performance
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for even high yield bond or maybe even an equity IPO
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to register 10% on a day, that's maybe
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a little bit more mundane. This sort of thing never
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happens in investment grade credit so
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why did they leave so much value on the table for investors?
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Well, that's because $27 billion is
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a drop in the bucket relative to the financing needs.
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Is there anything that you would point out to everyone that is
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slightly different in the structure?
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We're hearing a lot about the circular financing that's going
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on right now. There are lots of different pieces that are a
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little bit ... just slightly different financing that is going
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on. Anything to either worry about, note from your
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perspective? You look at this all day.
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Some people are saying the hyperscalers
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want to go ahead and use their free cash flow for this
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and don't want to use debt but they're finding kind of some
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other creative ways to make that happen.
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What would you point to that's interesting about the structure
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of some of these deals?
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That's a great question. They do have a lot of cash
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that they've been accumulating over the last decade plus
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that they can decide to contribute
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to the overall investment need.
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Rather than debt.
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Rather than debt but clearly, again, scale is
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required here so the cash alone won't do it.
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Secondly, clearly, they wouldn't necessarily want to put all
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of their eggs literally in that one basket and continue to
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have flexibility to fund share repurchases, dividends,
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other needs, not to mention rainy day funds.
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Doing things with other people's money is what the financial
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market has learned how to do, particularly if you need to do
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it in size over the course of
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the last 20 and 30 years.
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As long as there's adequate security and compensation
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we're willing to at least consider a number
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of those proposals.
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The kind of model that's coming in now to back some
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of the data centre buildouts, it's not homogenous.
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We've seen a few deals in the
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high yield market since the mid-summer
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that have come in either with a large
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hyperscaler backstop on a
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speculative shell that is building out the data centre on
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their behalf.
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Like a SPAC.
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It's not necessarily like
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a SPAC but more of a financial
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guarantor, kind of like a bank of mom and dad
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sort of model, sending this
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venture out to build something on their half
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that needs a lot of investment and a lot of time
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and critical parts in order to be
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constructed and created but saying like, I'm there, don't
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worry, I'm the fallback.
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That's clearly as credited investors wanting
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something firm to hold onto more so
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than a promise or a pledge of shares,
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that's going to have a greater attraction than deals that
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are based on, let's, say flimsier guarantees.
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It's fascinating.
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Is there a little bit of a, air pocket's maybe not the right
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word but the idea of displacing water on
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some level when you have deals this size in the market.
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I'm just kind of curious how you see possibly
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a good ripple effect but we are seeing a lot of equity market
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volatility. The question has to be asked whether the
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ripples are not a good effect, that this
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is changing the market in a difficult moment for it to digest
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it. It feels like it's hard for the market to digest some of
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these stories.
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That's an interesting observation.
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It's true, displacement, I mean, we don't
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necessarily think of things as a zero-sum game when we're
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considering any individual investment in the fund but
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you do want to think about things as alternatives or
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substitutes or where's the best use of capital,
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where's the opportunity cost.
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I wouldn't necessarily say we're achieving any sort
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of critical mass such that there is a
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limitation on the available investment.
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That's good to know.
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Why do I say that? Overall it's difficult to
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prove but the overall sensation is that
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credit as an asset class may be under-owned
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by large global institutional investors.
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Part of that can just be sort of tacit.
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Equity markets have done so well that their relative weight in
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equities has risen so they may need to
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true up, top it up.
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There's a lot of liquidity available in the overall system,
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which we've talked about before, driven by Fed and other
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central banks.
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The other item to think about there is
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that it's a simple sort of relative value game.
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In the high yield cases in particular that I referred to
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earlier you're talking about instruments
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that are going to be rated, say, low double-B, a
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little bit of default risk, not too much default risk.
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Your bog standard double-B for a consumer
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products company or a packaging company or utility trades
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around 5%,
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5 1/4, 5 1/2 for a 5-year bond.
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The kind of return on offer in
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these data centre deals originally was
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7 1/2. It's come into maybe 6
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3/4 over the last couple of weeks but that's still
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150 basis points excess premium which is nothing to
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sneeze at in our space, so you have to consider it.
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Well, in your space, okay, so let's talk about the high yield
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market. When we've spoken over the course of every sort of two
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or three months, have a conversation, I mean,
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the fund itself, taking a look at some of the opportunities
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that you were using there, I mean, the yield was
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up to, well, it was higher than sort of 7, 8%, was it not?
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It was. As we went through the summer
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and conditions were perfect in
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every sense of the word
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we saw the yield on the market come all the way down to about
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6 1/2, 6 5/8. The
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little bout of volatility and
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let's not overlook the macro factors here, not
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least kind of the markets continual sort
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of wrestling with the idea of the Fed's going to cut a lot or
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the Fed can't cut a lot.
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We've talked about that dynamic in the past.
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This week has provided another one of those moments.
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Correct, the pendulum is swinging back to
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the Fed is kind of boxed in, they can
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make some micro-adjustments to rates here but by no
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means are they going to be slashing them by more than
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1% over the next 12 months.
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So the market story in equities is obviously AI,
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the market story in high yields is also AI.
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I mean, is that what you're looking at right now?
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You mentioned consumer packaging, that doesn't sound like AI.
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What are you invested in?
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That's the beauty of the high yield market, particularly the
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U.S. high yield market, because it's kind of deep and
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broad with a lot of sectoral diversification.
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We're not necessarily dominated by any one sector.
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The largest sector in our space is still energy which is about
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12% of the market.
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Then it kind of falls down from there, technology, low to
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mid-single digits.
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It's there, it is real.
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You mentioned the ripple effect and positive
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ripples and negative ripples, the negative ripples are clearly
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related to the extreme tightness
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of correlation across asset classes right now.
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So we have to pick that apart a little bit because people
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worry about a 2022-like moment where
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sort of everything went down together.
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I have to ask you that. That is something that you're marking.
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It's a significant risk.
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We had some interesting conversations within our global fixed
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income team over the course of this week.
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One of, I think, the best observations that was made was
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actually made by one of our emerging markets portfolio
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managers who shared around
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a chart of the correlation between emerging market fixed
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income returns and the S&P.
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The correlation there has never been tighter.
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There is deep concern that with so much of the
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S&P's returns driven by
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the Mag Seven, the rest of the
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equity universe is clearly not having a bad earnings season,
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things are improving but it's basically the rich getting
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richer and everybody else being left to scrap
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over the crumbs.
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It's very EM.
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It's very EM. Of course,
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you're gonna attempt to me to digress into how many things
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are very EM now south of the border here in
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terms of the behaviour of the government.
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Well, now that you mention it, yes.
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Well, I mean, that's what commentators
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will say, right, that there's a structure politically but also
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a little bit in the markets.
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I guess just through your lens is that interesting?
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Does that make you want to diversify away from the United
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States for that very reason?
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Is there currency risk?
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Do comment a little bit on that.
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That's for sure on the top of our
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mind. In general, when correlations are
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tight we want to be more diversified because it's very
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difficult to call when things will inflect
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from one day to another.
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Having too much concentration in one particular space is
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an issue, in general.
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In the U.S.
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the great debate is not that things are going to go from
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feast to famine overnight but clearly
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things are turning, things are changing,
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conditions are evolving. We're entering into a different world
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with a more robust industrial policy that's
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being actively managed out of the executive branch with
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the central bank.
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We've talked quite a lot...
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The government itself, the structures of government itself all
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being managed a little bit more by the administration than in
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the past.
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Managed more by the administration than in the past and
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critical ones from a market perspective being debased
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to an extent. Of course, your question
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really gets at debasement
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Because it's not for the administration, I mean, as we
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understand it it's one of the goals to help with the debt
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burden that they're dealing with but that is a story
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that as an investor sitting in Canada or anywhere around the
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world is not necessarily one that you want to help with, or do
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you, I guess?
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Well, I mean, the entire
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sort of G7 system plus China is weighted down with
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excess debt, excess deficit and one of the classical
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mechanisms to manage your way out of that would be simply
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to inflate your way out of that.
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Regardless of the details of what's being implemented
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in the U.S. and elsewhere that seem s to be
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the pure fact on the ground is that there is some desire
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to reflate in order to make the
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debt problem go away.
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Or at least eat away at it.
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Exactly. The question is like it's
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always a matter of a rate of change in markets,
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as you know.
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If things happen in a disruptive and disorderly fashion
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that's bad. That can switch off the spigots and slow
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down financing.
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At the end of the day our economic model
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in Canada and in the U.S.
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and the rest of the Western world is very credit driven.
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We saw what the experiences were with an
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extended shutdown of the credit mechanism in the financial
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crisis and with temporary shutdowns of the credit mechanism
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with things like COVID and Russia-Ukraine.
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It funds the joint.
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Correct.
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You don't want it to come to a halt or to shut
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down. That said, as a trader you take
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a look at high yielding bonds
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as a matter of course.
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That means on some level you rush towards
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danger. When there's a moment to invest and others
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are fleeing you walk in fearlessly,
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we understand.
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What opportunities are out there because there's real vol
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out there and there's concern that there's more to come.
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Whether there is or there isn't the expectations are there.
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That's a great point.
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We try to be as fearless as we can but sometimes we go
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in with knees knocking or whatnot.
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It helps to have done your homework
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before. That's the benefit of
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Fidelity and its global network of
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research expertise and risk management expertise.
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We can bounce ideas off of one another in the fixed income
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team, we can speak to our equity colleagues.
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You have eyes all over the world, literally.
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Exactly, and exchange of information, feedback,
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exchange of ideas, thinking through how we
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can do this, all predicated upon the bottom-up fundamental
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research that is done by the equity
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and credit research teams that can help us focus
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and try to shut out some of the noise in these situations.
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As active managers or as traders, whatever the
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term you might want to use, but as active
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portfolio managers we do relish these opportunities
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when volatility picks up and gives us
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a chance to really focus on the
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opportunities that we haven't been able to participate
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in yet because we've had some kind of objection whether that's
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related to the value on offer before or we
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didn't have enough information yet but we've continued to
[00:17:14.960]
try to peel away the layers of the
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onion and get at what really drives a particular
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business or what might make a credit perform or not
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perform. That's an excellent opportunity
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for us in general.
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I was going to just add in to that, what
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sort of information is given to you in market
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drawdowns? That said, you anticipate a lot.
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The team of analysts that you just referenced are there before
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events happen to sort of on some level know what would
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happen in X situation.
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That said, you must gain some data, some information from
[00:17:52.280]
wobbles in markets. I mean, it gives you data about a company
[00:17:55.320]
and how it does, for instance.
[00:17:57.320]
What do you gain from moments of volatility beyond
[00:18:00.680]
just the pure investment of just sort of learning about how
[00:18:03.840]
the structure is either strong or weak in certain areas.
[00:18:08.280]
That's one for sure.
[00:18:09.640]
I mean, Dick Cheney passed away, lots
[00:18:12.880]
of people have things to say about that, and he and his
[00:18:16.120]
neocon friends, they always used to focus on
[00:18:19.720]
known unknowns and unknown unknowns.
[00:18:21.160]
They did, that's right.
[00:18:22.640]
We used to hear about that.
[00:18:23.160]
I guess the most important thing
[00:18:26.680]
to know heading into all this is to appreciate what you don't
[00:18:29.680]
know and what you can't know.
[00:18:32.600]
Embrace the mystery.
[00:18:33.560]
That's one thing.
[00:18:35.000]
What you do find out is you expected A
[00:18:38.200]
to happen and then B happened.
[00:18:43.000]
Sometimes that's for the better and sometimes it's not.
[00:18:46.320]
For us as credit investors being glass half
[00:18:49.440]
empty, of course, all the time,
[00:18:53.920]
we tend to ... we try not to be but we tend
[00:18:57.040]
to try to then isolate and say, okay, we thought
[00:19:00.280]
this particular sector or story was going to
[00:19:03.520]
be a lot more resilient in the event
[00:19:06.840]
of a downturn, or we didn't
[00:19:10.360]
expect it to move that much. In the
[00:19:13.560]
best case scenario we don't own it and it's really moved
[00:19:16.840]
a lot to dramatically change the risk-reward
[00:19:20.080]
proposition. In the worst scenario we do own
[00:19:23.240]
it and we've clearly missed something that the market is
[00:19:26.360]
homing in on or focused upon and we need to ascertain pretty
[00:19:29.600]
quickly is that something from
[00:19:33.040]
the bottom up that we haven't been appreciating
[00:19:36.640]
the risk factor correctly, or
[00:19:40.360]
is it some related but
[00:19:43.800]
macro force. Almost is it a force majeure
[00:19:47.200]
type of event, there's just a market liquidity factor.
[00:19:49.680]
You have, as we just said, a team
[00:19:52.800]
around the world to figure that out faster
[00:19:56.520]
than most other people who don't have teams around to
[00:19:59.840]
figure out very quickly what the action needs to be, for
[00:20:02.520]
instance.
[00:20:02.800]
Absolutely. Absolutely.
[00:20:05.240]
Then we can take that action and implement it as quickly
[00:20:08.600]
as the markets will allow us to.
[00:20:11.400]
There's a bit of art and science to that when
[00:20:14.600]
it comes to credit trading.
[00:20:16.520]
It's fascinating.
[00:20:18.000]
In the moment, I mean,
[00:20:21.280]
you are hearing anecdotally that some,
[00:20:24.880]
obviously, love being in equity markets, it's been an
[00:20:27.160]
incredible time.
[00:20:28.600]
There are, obviously, these concerns.
[00:20:30.320]
We'll hear from some of your colleagues like Sri Tella that
[00:20:33.480]
you'll see some equity investors taking some chips off the
[00:20:36.520]
table, going to book it into the fixed income
[00:20:39.840]
side of their portfolio a bit more.
[00:20:41.720]
You see some of that.
[00:20:42.720]
Is there an argument that if you want to take some risk and
[00:20:45.120]
you're the right person, you've done all the information,
[00:20:47.040]
you've spoken with your advisor, that you could have high
[00:20:49.800]
yield as your risk exposure within a
[00:20:53.040]
portfolio instead of?
[00:20:55.000]
Does that question get asked or tossed around?
[00:20:57.000]
Yeah, it does get asked. Institutional
[00:21:00.800]
investors to individual investors that consideration
[00:21:04.080]
as to whether or not a growth-like asset
[00:21:07.480]
can be found that doesn't have all of the
[00:21:11.080]
kind of volatility characteristics of equities,
[00:21:14.360]
whether large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap, whichever flavour
[00:21:17.880]
is their preference.
[00:21:19.240]
And private credit is one way
[00:21:22.440]
of doing that but this also has a little more visibility.
[00:21:26.040]
Visibility and liquidity. Quality,
[00:21:29.800]
transparency and governance have clearly been
[00:21:33.520]
in focus when it comes to what's been going on in
[00:21:37.200]
the private credit market and the broader leveraged finance
[00:21:40.000]
markets over the course of the last two
[00:21:43.120]
months in particular.
[00:21:46.320]
Jamie Dimon, bless him, he's likely right
[00:21:49.800]
that where there's one--
[00:21:51.920]
This is the cockroach story?
[00:21:52.040]
--there will be another because
[00:21:55.840]
the kind of environment that we've been in with easy
[00:21:58.520]
liquidity, easy financial conditions, sort of
[00:22:01.680]
a seller's market when it comes to raising debt
[00:22:05.240]
is one that historically
[00:22:09.320]
has proven to generate some malfeasance and this...
[00:22:13.800]
Let's go into the moment for high yield debt at
[00:22:17.160]
this moment because it sounds like it's a really interesting
[00:22:19.360]
opportunity for those that would like a very nice yield in
[00:22:23.480]
many cases but, again, just higher
[00:22:26.680]
in the pecking order. What is this moment for high yield debt
[00:22:29.240]
for investors?
[00:22:30.640]
Well, it's a very interesting opportunity,
[00:22:34.360]
still, right? We talked about it before earlier in the summer,
[00:22:38.000]
7% yield, low duration,
[00:22:42.080]
reasonably low volatility.
[00:22:43.680]
Here we are still. We've travelled all the way to 6 1/2, we
[00:22:46.440]
backed up to 7, 7% yield,
[00:22:49.880]
reasonable credit quality at the overall aggregate market
[00:22:52.840]
level. Taking a diversified approach to capture
[00:22:56.320]
that income stream in an environment when risk-free
[00:22:59.440]
rates have fallen and volatility is rising in
[00:23:03.440]
other asset classes is not the
[00:23:06.640]
worst place to park and earn a
[00:23:09.880]
pretty happy and healthy risk-adjusted return
[00:23:13.200]
on your allocation.
[00:23:14.320]
That's fascinating. There's a question coming in that has to
[00:23:16.320]
do with the correlations that we were talking about a little
[00:23:18.120]
bit before.
[00:23:19.920]
Equities in the U.S. tend to be correlated with EAFE.
[00:23:22.680]
Does the same apply to U.S.
[00:23:26.680]
versus global credit? Interesting.
[00:23:32.520]
That's a very good question.
[00:23:34.080]
The U.S. credit market is the largest one, particularly if you
[00:23:36.800]
get into my little corner of the world
[00:23:40.040]
in high yields.
[00:23:41.800]
How big is that market?
[00:23:42.640]
Well, overall, the U.S.
[00:23:44.480]
high yield market is about 1.4 trillion.
[00:23:47.560]
The European high yield market is the next largest and
[00:23:50.680]
that's roughly 450 billion.
[00:23:56.080]
Globally do you get to sort of 2 and something?
[00:23:58.320]
You get to 2 and something, that's right.
[00:24:01.480]
The tail doesn't necessarily always
[00:24:05.080]
wag the dog but you can see significant divergence
[00:24:08.680]
depending upon regional qualities and characteristics.
[00:24:12.040]
Between Asia, which has clearly been very China dominated
[00:24:15.320]
and particularly China property dominated,
[00:24:19.080]
behaved in a very isolated and idiosyncratic
[00:24:22.440]
manner for a long time but things have caught up there
[00:24:25.800]
as the market has naturally cleansed itself with
[00:24:29.520]
... that's kind of cleansing by fire, cleansing by default is
[00:24:32.360]
what we see in the high yield market.
[00:24:34.960]
As things sort of fall off you're
[00:24:38.160]
left with a residual that's more resilient.
[00:24:42.200]
Then when that happens things tend to trade
[00:24:45.480]
a little bit more together because you're not
[00:24:49.520]
asking that question about what is it specifically about this
[00:24:52.520]
sector or these big companies in that space that is very
[00:24:55.040]
different from the rest of the world.
[00:24:56.720]
At the moment we're kind of in that space where correlations
[00:25:00.080]
are a little bit higher. European high
[00:25:03.320]
yield has been doing its own thing because the
[00:25:06.680]
composition of that market is rather different.
[00:25:09.960]
It's more double-B heavy but it's also got a
[00:25:13.960]
tail of triple-C assets.
[00:25:15.880]
It's a lot more concentrated than
[00:25:19.040]
triple-C in U.S. high yields.
[00:25:20.360]
Because they haven't moved up and cleaned themselves up enough
[00:25:22.480]
or...
Well, Europe is still very much a
[00:25:25.640]
bank dominated financing model so the
[00:25:29.120]
corporate finance split is more heavily skewed to
[00:25:32.320]
use of banks and private credit in Europe, particularly for
[00:25:35.280]
smaller companies that are not so
[00:25:39.120]
accustomed to dealing with the demands of
[00:25:43.160]
public side investors and who simply
[00:25:47.000]
don't want to ...
[00:25:48.720]
and it is demands. If you've been
[00:25:51.840]
running a family business for several generations
[00:25:55.080]
and all of a sudden some sharp-elbowed
[00:25:59.960]
public investor starts asking you questions that you're not
[00:26:02.600]
comfortable answering it's much easier to go to your banker.
[00:26:05.800]
Oh, that's so interesting. You spent quite a lot of time in
[00:26:08.240]
London on the European debt side of things.
[00:26:11.320]
This is an area that you know well.
[00:26:12.680]
Tell us a little bit about the fund, what investors take a
[00:26:15.760]
look at when they dive into the high yield fund.
[00:26:20.040]
The first thing to think about is what's the overall appetite
[00:26:23.520]
for credit risk?
[00:26:24.960]
Are you looking for outperformance of credit
[00:26:28.320]
or are you taking a more measured approach?
[00:26:33.400]
The fund management universe over the course of the last year
[00:26:36.200]
has been taking a fairly measured approach.
[00:26:38.120]
We wouldn't necessarily say we're significantly different
[00:26:42.080]
from them in that overall sort of risk appetite.
[00:26:46.160]
That's informed by the fact that we want to focus on
[00:26:48.840]
generating investors' solid returns over
[00:26:52.160]
a longer horizon.
[00:26:53.600]
We're not thinking, you know, we, of course, are thinking and
[00:26:55.840]
managing on a day-to-day basis but we really want to be able
[00:26:58.600]
to generate consistent long
[00:27:01.680]
term returns for investors.
[00:27:04.160]
One of the best ways to do that in high yield is
[00:27:07.680]
not necessarily by chasing the latest and
[00:27:10.800]
greatest thing.
[00:27:12.840]
You want to have a little bit of that but you don't want to be
[00:27:16.680]
overly concentrated in too many go-go names because really
[00:27:19.640]
what generates returns for investors in our space is avoidance
[00:27:23.000]
of the stuff that blows up.
[00:27:25.360]
We're not the equity market, things don't necessarily always
[00:27:27.960]
go to zero if they go totally wrong
[00:27:31.360]
in our space but we do have the asymmetric
[00:27:34.760]
risk problem of the payoff profile in
[00:27:38.000]
our space so it makes sense to choose selectively.
[00:27:42.040]
Let me ask you as a final question, how
[00:27:45.200]
does investing in high yield help you stay invested,
[00:27:49.200]
not hit the sell button?
[00:27:51.600]
It helps you move up the
[00:27:55.200]
capital structure, if you will, so out of that thing
[00:27:58.640]
that's out there on the ledge or close to the
[00:28:01.720]
ledge that it may go up 100% but it may also
[00:28:05.080]
go to zero while
[00:28:08.280]
taking advantage
[00:28:11.360]
of the fact that our space within
[00:28:14.480]
fixed income, right, the next thing people worry about when
[00:28:16.880]
they wanna buy fixed income is what's gonna happen to yields.
[00:28:19.080]
Are their bonds gonna go up, down, is
[00:28:22.200]
that going to destroy my returns, which is what we saw in
[00:28:25.600]
2022 with the beginning of the Fed's hiking cycle,
[00:28:28.880]
a lot of returns were destroyed in long duration fixed income.
[00:28:32.440]
High yield is a shorter duration asset class.
[00:28:35.720]
The income stream really protects investors
[00:28:38.920]
quite a lot over time.
[00:28:40.560]
The underlying quality of our market has continued to improve
[00:28:43.720]
and evolve significantly over the last 10 years so the
[00:28:46.520]
inherent default risk is lower.
[00:28:49.280]
What's your forward return expectation on equity markets?
[00:28:53.360]
That's not my bailiwick but reading the sell side
[00:28:57.960]
pieces that are coming out for 2026 outlook in the next 10
[00:29:00.720]
years people are talking about projected equity
[00:29:04.280]
returns in the U.S.
[00:29:06.720]
of, surprise,
[00:29:09.920]
7 to 8%. Do you want 7% and 20% vol or
[00:29:13.120]
do you want 7% in 6, 7% vol?
[00:29:16.240]
We're going to leave it on that.
[00:29:17.680]
That's brilliant. Peter Khan, for Friday, you've given us a
[00:29:20.480]
lot to think about going into the weekend.
[00:29:22.080]
Thank you for joining us here today.
[00:29:23.880]
Pleasure to be here.
[00:29:25.520]
Thanks for watching or listening to the Fidelity Connects
[00:29:29.440]
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[00:30:02.400]
The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are those of the participants,
[00:30:06.240]
and do not necessarily reflect those of Fidelity Investments Canada ULC or
[00:30:10.160]
its affiliates. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and should not
[00:30:14.160]
be construed as investment, tax, or legal advice.
[00:30:16.720]
It is not an offer to sell or buy.
[00:30:19.040]
Or an endorsement, recommendation, or sponsorship of any entity or securities
[00:30:23.360]
cited. Read a fund's prospectus before investing, funds are not guaranteed.
[00:30:28.160]
Their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated.
[00:30:31.720]
Fees, expenses, and commissions are all associated
[00:30:34.160]
with fund investments.
[00:30:36.320]
Thanks again. We'll see you next time.

