FidelityConnects: Finding hidden gems in global small caps

Join us for a conversation with Connor Gordon and Chris Maludzinski, co-managers of Fidelity Global Small Cap Opportunity Fund. They’ll share an update on the Fund, dive into their investing strategy, and reveal where they’re uncovering hidden gems, both in North America and across global markets.

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Hello, and welcome to Fidelity Connects. I'm Pamela Ritchie.

 

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With major markets charting different paths to recovery how might investors

 

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access what many are calling a K-shaped economy.

 

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Connor Gordon and Chris Maludzinski are co-managers

 

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of Fidelity Global Small-Cap Opportunities Fund.

 

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They both join us here in studio today to share an update on how these

 

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diverging market conditions are impacting their investing thesis.

 

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We're also going to dive into whether the interest rate environment is driving

 

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their portfolio or not, and where are these co-managers finding mispricing

 

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opportunities both in North America and across the globe.

 

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Just to let you know that today's webcast is presented, of course, in English

 

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but has live audio interpretation so join us in either

 

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of our official languages. Welcome, Connor and Chris.

 

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Great to see you both.

 

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Thanks for having us.

 

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Good to be here.

 

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Thanks for joining us here today. We'll ask everyone to send

 

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their questions in. You're joining Chris and Connor just the way I am so send

 

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your questions in over the next little while.

 

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Let's begin with interest rates. When you hear small-caps it's often related

 

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to interest rates, to what extent is this a driving factor to the way you

 

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invest?  Do you want to start, Chris?

 

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Sure, I'll start with that one.

 

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When you think about small-caps you think about levered companies, unprofitable

 

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companies, the beta trade.

 

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If you think about global small-caps, emerging markets also, sensitive to

 

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interest rates. That's not really what we do and the way we look at things.

 

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We focus on high quality businesses, generally under levered businesses run

 

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by very strong management teams.

 

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Focusing on inflection points, which is part of our process, interest rates do

 

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factor into that. We've talked about in the past the number of businesses that

 

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we've owned that benefit from an interest rate cycle on the upside.

 

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Now it seems that the joy is taken out of that, the air is coming out of that

 

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balloon and we're probably going to see a cycle on the downside for interest

 

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rates. A lot of the companies that got hurt from higher interest rates we can

 

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go in, take a look at them. They're cyclically depressed and they could have a

 

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tailwind coming out the other side.

 

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That's where we're focusing a lot our time right now.

 

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Okay, fantastic. Could you define inflection point for us, just so we know

 

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what we're talking about? So interest rates could be an inflection points,

 

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there's a lot of other ones [crosstalk].

 

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Yeah, look, I think one of the things you asked in the previous question, are

 

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interest rates a driving factor in our investment process, and the answer is

 

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no.

 

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Our investment process, we define it as inflection point investing.

 

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What does that mean? Ultimately, we're trying to invest in higher quality

 

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businesses that are undergoing an inflection point that allow us to underwrite

 

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higher earnings, higher multiples and, ultimately, a higher stock price.

 

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Our inflection points, there can be, generally, three types of inflection

 

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points. There can be a structural inflection point, a cyclical inflection point

 

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or an idiosyncratic inflection point.

 

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If you think about structural inflection points, that can be changes in

 

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technology, changes in consumer behaviour, changes in regulation or government

 

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policy. Cyclical, that can be

 

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changes in supply and demand inside of an industry, maybe a company that's

 

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moving ... that has had cyclical headwinds that is kind of inflecting

 

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and those headwinds are becoming tailwinds.

 

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The third one would be very idiosyncratic, very company-specific, think of

 

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situations where you might have typically a company with a new product or

 

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a new management team or they're restructuring or buying or selling a business.

 

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That's what we're looking for.

 

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Because we have this smorgasbord of the types of opportunities

 

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that we're looking for our investment process doesn't tend to be driven by

 

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top-down factors or interest rates.

 

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Now, I think everyone has their eyes on a big, big

 

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structural inflection point that's happening in the world and the market, which

 

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is AI and all of its derivatives.

 

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That's not something that we necessarily have had a lot of exposure to.

 

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This fund, Chris and I, typically, have had less than 5% technology

 

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exposure. I think where we have had exposure to AI has been

 

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on the more power side, more on the industrial side of...

 

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Of where you're plugging it into?

 

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Exactly. Companies that are not necessarily utilities

 

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but industrial businesses that are selling into utilities or selling into

 

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the energy companies or the materials companies that are potentially mining

 

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copper or some of the materials that are required for electrification.

 

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That sounds like utilities.

 

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Not utilities.

 

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Not necessarily.

 

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Industrial businesses. Think about selling industrial widgets into these

 

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companies. But what's happened, you mentioned in the intro, that

 

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K-shaped economy. It's artificial intelligence and everything else.

 

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The artificial intelligence to a large extent has been, let's

 

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call it, crowding out some of the traditional

 

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sectors of the economy, like pressure on consumer wallets.

 

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We all go to the grocery store, we all see inflation and how that's affecting

 

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consumer wallets. On the industrial side, interest rates have stayed

 

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high for, I think, longer than people might have anticipated if we were sitting

 

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here a year or two ago. That is creating some cyclical headwinds

 

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on many of the industries that Chris and I tend to focus on.

 

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That's where we're starting to find those unique opportunities in interest

 

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rates, things related to housing or real estate where maybe

 

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these cyclical headwinds are starting to become tailwinds.

 

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Okay, really interesting.

 

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Where do tariffs fit in? They fit into non-structural, cyclical, at one point

 

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we thought maybe they were idiosyncratic.

 

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Maybe they moved into the cyclical bucket.

 

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Your companies, clearly, would have had to deal with this on some level.

 

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I mean, global companies are dealing with this.

 

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Chris, how has that just changed the way you've had to deal with things?

 

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You've had to go and scrub the numbers again.

 

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Well, the good thing is when we invest in a company we look

 

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at the risk factors, the upside, the downside.

 

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We want to make sure we build a ship that can weather any storm.

 

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When I think of tariffs I think of the companies that are really hurt by

 

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tariffs, I think of maybe small companies that have a lot of leverage and no

 

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pricing power because if your merchants get hit you don't really have anywhere to go. 

 

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Given the tariff example,

 

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and they have a lot of pricing power, well, they can increase those prices,

 

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maintain their margins and actually come out better on the other side because

 

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they'll be able to take market share from some of the weaker players that might

 

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have to cede, or might even have to go through restructuring themselves.

 

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Really interesting. Take us to the fund itself and

 

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sort of how you manage it, the process.

 

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It's both of you, obviously, doing this at the same time.

 

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How do you kind of divide things up and work as a team, ultimately?

 

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Put that to you, Connor.

 

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The reason the fund was created almost six years ago was

 

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Chris and I brought a very, very similar investment style to the fund

 

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but we had divergent paths to get there.

 

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The Fidelity analyst system, I had covered industrial, technology

 

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and health care.  Chris, on the other hand, had covered consumer, financials.

 

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When you put that, I guess experience based together the whole point

 

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was bring two people together, give them

 

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the biggest opportunity set, global,

 

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relatively concentrated, call it, 40 to 80 names, tends to run about 60 to

 

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80 stocks, best ideas from around the world with

 

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a high-tracking error fund.

 

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That was the idea and that's kind of what we, I think, have delivered

 

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over almost six years on the strategy.

 

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How big are these companies? You mentioned they're small-cap.

 

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Small-cap can mean different things in different countries.

 

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The way we think about it is between 2 and 20 billion, is kind of like where

 

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we're ...

 

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Oh, so it's big [crosstalk].

 

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It's moved up a lot over the past five years as well, given the bull market.

 

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I guess in a Canadian context you might think of small-cap as sub-2 billion and

 

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that's kind of where we start to look at companies.

 

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That's on a U.S. dollar basis.

 

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If they grow out of that range do you

 

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make a move or...

 

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No. Thankfully, 30% of the fund can be above

 

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that range. I guess what attracts us to the small-cap asset class is

 

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that it doesn't suffer from the law of large numbers and there's a lot of,

 

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obviously, mispriced opportunities because there's fewer eyeballs on these

 

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securities. There's one name in the fund that started the year at $6.5 billion,

 

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today it's around $23 billion.

 

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You don't really get that opportunity in the mid-cap and large-cap sectors

 

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if you're looking at those.

 

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If the thesis is still valid, the risk-award is still attractive even though

 

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it's moved up, we're able to continue to hold it in the fund.

 

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I think maybe just to put a cap on that.

 

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To be specific, there's no sunset clause, I guess, is what we're saying.

 

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As Chris said, if we buy a stock and it's a $5 billion market

 

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cap and suddenly it's above the top of the index, which is how we define

 

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it, we're not forced to sell it.

 

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In general, I would say that when we do sell it that capital

 

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tends to get reinvested back at those smaller market caps.

 

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We always say, jokingly, our

 

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job is to find small-caps that are on their way to becoming large-caps.

 

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Large-caps are success.

 

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You're there for a very defined but growth path--

 

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Exactly.

 

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--for these companies and that's what you're sort of playing in.

 

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Tell us a bit about where some of these companies are.

 

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It's global, get it? Is it global

 

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developed necessarily? Do you touch EM?

 

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Tell us about that.

 

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We have the ability to go anywhere but our focus is really developed markets

 

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globally. Think of this as, if you were to put it into buckets,

 

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the world is split up roughly 50, 60% in North America,

 

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United States and Canada, 20-ish%

 

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in Europe, and then another 10 to 15, 20% in

 

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Asia-Pacific. In developed markets that's primarily like Australia, Japan.

 

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Western Europe. North America.

 

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Historically, we have had a general overweight

 

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to the United States, Canada and

 

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Europe. We're global, I would say practically we have been more

 

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of a trans-Atlantic fund than a true global fund.

 

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Primarily, it just comes down to our

 

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ability to find ideas we feel like we have more of an edge

 

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in markets where we're just closer to the market.

 

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I would say we have selectively played in Japan but

 

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I think the max that Japan has ever got to is maybe 4, 5% of

 

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the fund. It tends to be more core U.S., Europe

 

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and then selectively pick off ideas in Asia-Pacific, and then

 

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some select emerging markets around the world.

 

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We've held two or three names in emerging markets [indecipherable] today, we

 

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do. So we're able to go there it's just not our core focus.

 

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It's interesting, there's a fiscal story that's going across the world and

 

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that's been very much part of the inter-, well, there's been many reasons for

 

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the international uptick this year.

 

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You're a global fund, you caught that?

 

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The fiscal? Well, I mean, we can talk about, you know, some of the [crosstalk].

 

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[crosstalk] more now but the shift from January onwards has been this story.

 

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I call it crossing the Rubicon, right.

 

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If you just go back to

 

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2008, post-GFC,

 

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the world has been awash in monetary policy.

 

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I think what the period between, call it, 2008 and

 

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2020 kind of taught everyone is that there's limited efficacy.

 

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Then we got into COVID and what happened?

 

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We turn on the fiscal switch. Everyone realized, holy cow,

 

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if you want to create inflation this is how you do it.

 

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I think politicians, in particular, figured out that if

 

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you want to create outcomes and direct investment

 

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you can do it through a fiscal lever rather than a monetary level.

 

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I think where you've seen this really radically play out, post-COVID,

 

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post- Russia-Ukraine war, I think there's

 

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three large areas and I think these are large

 

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structural inflection points that we have had exposure to.

 

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The first one, and you can think of this as just broadly security, defence,

 

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energy security, supply chain security.

 

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Our exposure, we have historically had a significant exposure to European

 

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defence companies on...

 

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So before the fiscal taps got turned on just very recently

 

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on that.

 

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Yeah, roughly in 2023.

 

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It's not a large part of the fund anymore, we've moved on.

 

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Again, that inflection point was, effectively, Ukraine.

 

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00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:52,538

Europe taking budgets from sub-1%

 

222

00:12:52,538 --> 00:12:56,542

and most recently at the most recent NATO summit, taking that very

 

223

00:12:56,542 --> 00:12:58,711

significantly higher.

 

224

00:12:58,711 --> 00:13:03,516

Then you can think of energy security. All of the investment, AI

 

225

00:13:03,516 --> 00:13:08,854

has really supercharged this but even prior to AI there was Europe

 

226

00:13:08,854 --> 00:13:13,325

trying to insulate itself from Russian gas, the rest of the world trying to

 

227

00:13:13,325 --> 00:13:18,564

electrify, move away from fossil

 

228

00:13:18,564 --> 00:13:23,002

fuels, effectively. That requires a significant amount of investment.

 

229

00:13:23,002 --> 00:13:27,640

The third one, which I think was catalyzed by COVID

 

230

00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:31,977

but really has been kicked into supercharged mode here

 

231

00:13:31,977 --> 00:13:36,248

with some of the geopolitics that are at play, particularly with China

 

232

00:13:36,248 --> 00:13:40,619

controlling many of the world's critical supply chains, a

 

233

00:13:40,619 --> 00:13:43,756

lot of that needs to be reshored and redomesticated.

 

234

00:13:43,756 --> 00:13:48,661

You can think of ... rare earths, I think, get all of the headline attention

 

235

00:13:48,661 --> 00:13:50,396

but there are other ones like semiconductors.

 

236

00:13:50,396 --> 00:13:54,800

You see companies like TSMC,

 

237

00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:59,038

Intel, that's successfully trying to bring some of that fab capacity back

 

238

00:13:59,038 --> 00:14:03,809

to the United States. The other one, I think, is

 

239

00:14:03,809 --> 00:14:08,814

pharmaceutical capacity, CDMO exposure, contract development

 

240

00:14:08,814 --> 00:14:11,483

and manufacturing, actually manufacturing these drugs...

 

241

00:14:11,483 --> 00:14:12,484

[crosstalk] pharmaceuticals, yeah.

 

242

00:14:12,484 --> 00:14:16,488

Exactly, needs to be in a lot of the ingredients, the active ingredients that

 

243

00:14:16,488 --> 00:14:20,759

are used to produce these things need to be brought back and brought back into

 

244

00:14:20,759 --> 00:14:24,129

Western Europe and the United States.

 

245

00:14:24,129 --> 00:14:27,333

Hello, investors. We'll be back to the show in just a moment.

 

246

00:14:27,333 --> 00:14:30,669

I wanted to share that here at Fidelity, we value your opinion.

 

247

00:14:30,669 --> 00:14:33,706

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252

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DialoguesFidelity podcasts available on Apple, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever

 

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else you get your podcasts. Now back to today's show.

 

254

00:14:54,693 --> 00:14:57,830

That's super interesting. Chris, tell us how ...

 

255

00:14:57,830 --> 00:15:01,166

because some of the companies that you just named there, these are massive

 

256

00:15:01,166 --> 00:15:04,403

companies and they're involved in exactly the shift you're talking about, how

 

257

00:15:04,403 --> 00:15:08,674

do you go at it as taking a look at smaller companies riding

 

258

00:15:08,674 --> 00:15:12,678

on some of these themes that are clearly playing out all around us right now.

 

259

00:15:12,678 --> 00:15:15,981

We're in the midst of this massive shift. What kind of smaller companies are

 

260

00:15:15,981 --> 00:15:20,219

you looking at that are dealing with these and actually

 

261

00:15:20,219 --> 00:15:22,488

creating some growth?

 

262

00:15:22,488 --> 00:15:27,559

One of the great things about small-caps, small companies, if you are investing

 

263

00:15:27,559 --> 00:15:31,797

in a Fortune 500 or S&P 100 type

 

264

00:15:31,797 --> 00:15:35,167

company, these are typically incredible businesses.

 

265

00:15:35,167 --> 00:15:39,571

You don't get to be one of 500 biggest businesses in the world without being

 

266

00:15:39,571 --> 00:15:40,439

incredible at something.

 

267

00:15:40,439 --> 00:15:42,741

They figured out a lot of the problems at that point.

 

268

00:15:42,741 --> 00:15:44,877

Exactly.

 

269

00:15:44,877 --> 00:15:49,315

One of the things is that oftentimes you're so successful,

 

270

00:15:49,348 --> 00:15:53,519

you get so global, you get so diversified, that we

 

271

00:15:53,519 --> 00:15:57,523

often find some of the direct beneficiaries of these themes that we've

 

272

00:15:57,523 --> 00:16:01,093

been talking about tend to be in smaller companies.

 

273

00:16:01,093 --> 00:16:05,397

We can actually, in many cases, get access and provide our

 

274

00:16:05,397 --> 00:16:09,335

fundholders with direct exposure to

 

275

00:16:09,335 --> 00:16:13,706

these themes that we're talking about, investing in some of these

 

276

00:16:13,706 --> 00:16:17,743

smaller businesses, those

 

277

00:16:17,743 --> 00:16:21,347

2 to, call it, 10, 15 billion dollar market cap companies that are established

 

278

00:16:21,347 --> 00:16:25,584

but have more idiosyncratic or growth profiles than

 

279

00:16:25,584 --> 00:16:28,954

you might get exposure to with some of the very, very large global diversified

 

280

00:16:28,954 --> 00:16:29,088

companies.

 

281

00:16:29,088 --> 00:16:33,092

They are in the industries of, perhaps, defence, various logistics within

 

282

00:16:33,092 --> 00:16:37,463

supply chains. Take us through some of the types of companies that

 

283

00:16:37,463 --> 00:16:39,398

are in exactly those bigger themes.

 

284

00:16:39,398 --> 00:16:42,968

Maybe, Chris, you can begin with that.

 

285

00:16:42,968 --> 00:16:47,940

I'm just looking at ... if you think about over in Europe, a lot of the Europe

 

286

00:16:47,940 --> 00:16:49,742

mid and large-cap companies are global in nature.

 

287

00:16:49,742 --> 00:16:53,679

If you look out, and hopefully there's peace in Ukraine,

 

288

00:16:53,679 --> 00:16:57,349

Russia-Ukraine war there's going to be, obviously, rebuilding over there so a

 

289

00:16:57,349 --> 00:17:00,285

lot of the materials companies, the smaller materials companies are direct

 

290

00:17:00,285 --> 00:17:04,356

beneficiaries of that. Think about infrastructure spending,

 

291

00:17:04,356 --> 00:17:05,057

building materials.

 

292

00:17:05,057 --> 00:17:05,524

The cement story.

 

293

00:17:05,524 --> 00:17:09,762

The cement story, stuff like that, those are kind of pure play.

 

294

00:17:09,762 --> 00:17:12,765

Or even the financials companies, Eastern European financials company, for

 

295

00:17:12,765 --> 00:17:16,101

example, direct beneficiaries of that as well.

 

296

00:17:16,101 --> 00:17:20,172

That's kind of what we're looking to do, just isolate where the

 

297

00:17:20,172 --> 00:17:23,575

investment tailwinds are and then go find the companies that are direct plays

 

298

00:17:23,575 --> 00:17:28,113

on that rather than have 10 to 15% of their business with exposure to that

 

299

00:17:28,113 --> 00:17:30,482

and then you get a big U.S. story as well.

 

300

00:17:30,482 --> 00:17:35,054

When we look at some of the top ten and where they are globally,

 

301

00:17:35,054 --> 00:17:38,757

not ton of Canada, it doesn't look like, tell us a little bit where Canada fits

 

302

00:17:38,757 --> 00:17:42,728

into this story. Maybe it doesn't, I'm not sure if it does but do you look to

 

303

00:17:42,728 --> 00:17:46,498

it, ultimately, for some of these idiosyncratic or cyclical or even structural

 

304

00:17:46,498 --> 00:17:47,933

stories that you talk about?

 

305

00:17:47,933 --> 00:17:51,904

I mean, we look, it's a

 

306

00:17:51,904 --> 00:17:56,508

little harder. One of the hard things about when we have

 

307

00:17:56,508 --> 00:18:00,045

... people will often look at our fund, look at our exposure and see country

 

308

00:18:00,045 --> 00:18:05,117

exposure, you have a large overweight in Canada, you must love Canada.

 

309

00:18:05,117 --> 00:18:09,388

Or we have a larger overweight in Italy, what's going on in Italy?

 

310

00:18:09,388 --> 00:18:13,492

It tends to be we're not looking at the domestic market necessarily,

 

311

00:18:13,492 --> 00:18:17,796

we kind of look across, we divide the world into sectors rather

 

312

00:18:17,796 --> 00:18:21,900

than geographies. We're trying to find those best of breed companies

 

313

00:18:21,900 --> 00:18:26,305

in specific sectors regardless of where they happen to be headquartered.

 

314

00:18:26,305 --> 00:18:31,877

We pay more attention to the

 

315

00:18:31,877 --> 00:18:36,081

actual revenue and profitability breakdown and where that's

 

316

00:18:36,081 --> 00:18:41,253

located rather than where the headquarters happens to be.

 

317

00:18:41,253 --> 00:18:44,957

Now, it's a risk, it's a risk that needs to be monitored when you are managing

 

318

00:18:44,957 --> 00:18:49,461

a global fund because you do have to pay attention, particularly when there's

 

319

00:18:49,461 --> 00:18:52,598

currency volatility. That's been one of the big themes this year in global

 

320

00:18:52,598 --> 00:18:55,200

markets, has been the dollar is down.

 

321

00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:57,402

Do you hedge for that? How do you work with that?

 

322

00:18:57,402 --> 00:19:01,106

We do not hedge. The fund is offered in a U.S.

 

323

00:19:01,106 --> 00:19:05,544

dollar version which gets you 60% of the way there.

 

324

00:19:05,544 --> 00:19:09,681

I think, in general, over time our view is that

 

325

00:19:09,681 --> 00:19:12,251

we're not really playing in these emerging markets where you're going to wake

 

326

00:19:12,251 --> 00:19:17,356

up and there's going to be a currency depreciation of 20%, 30%, 50%.

 

327

00:19:17,356 --> 00:19:22,561

We're in developed markets, it creates short term volatility

 

328

00:19:22,561 --> 00:19:26,565

but if currency is a make or break in an investment thesis we're

 

329

00:19:26,565 --> 00:19:29,201

probably just not going to be [crosstalk].

 

330

00:19:29,201 --> 00:19:31,570

Another thing is just taxes, with all this fiscal spending governments are a

 

331

00:19:31,570 --> 00:19:34,039

little overburdened and may look to change tax policy.

 

332

00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:38,076

That's a risk that we're always monitoring because corporate taxes could go

 

333

00:19:38,076 --> 00:19:41,847

up in certain jurisdictions so we've got to make sure that we are not too over

 

334

00:19:41,847 --> 00:19:43,215

our skis there.

 

335

00:19:43,215 --> 00:19:46,585

Fascinating. Within sort of the discussion of interest rates but financials

 

336

00:19:46,585 --> 00:19:51,223

primarily where you've taken a look for, I think, years, and also real estate,

 

337

00:19:51,223 --> 00:19:53,759

there's always another opportunity within financials.

 

338

00:19:53,759 --> 00:19:56,662

I mean, insurers do well in certain types of interest rate environments and, of

 

339

00:19:56,662 --> 00:19:59,064

course, banks do well in others.

 

340

00:19:59,064 --> 00:20:01,099

Tell us what's of interest within the financials?

 

341

00:20:01,099 --> 00:20:05,037

Right now, actually, regional banks in the U.S., I mean, generally, we've

 

342

00:20:05,037 --> 00:20:09,174

shied away, really had no exposure there but now there's

 

343

00:20:09,174 --> 00:20:13,212

this consolidation theme and wave that's really picking up.

 

344

00:20:13,212 --> 00:20:16,615

Can you invest into that or do you just steer clear?

 

345

00:20:16,615 --> 00:20:20,152

We can invest into that because, I mean, if you just look at where these

 

346

00:20:20,152 --> 00:20:24,156

companies are trading, last time we had a big consolidation wave was pre-GFC

 

347

00:20:24,156 --> 00:20:26,391

so we're looking back to the '04 to '07 timeframe.

 

348

00:20:26,391 --> 00:20:30,362

All these companies were trading at 3, 3

 

349

00:20:30,362 --> 00:20:32,798

1/2 times tangible book value. Today they're 1 1/2 to 2.

 

350

00:20:32,798 --> 00:20:36,768

So if you do see that pick up then banks look to get further scale, well,

 

351

00:20:36,768 --> 00:20:40,105

then that's just like kind of a rising tide lifts all boats scenario.

 

352

00:20:40,105 --> 00:20:44,443

We can look for potential mispricings,

 

353

00:20:44,443 --> 00:20:46,545

idiosyncratic opportunities.

 

354

00:20:46,545 --> 00:20:50,716

Certain banks are more attractive as takeovers

 

355

00:20:50,716 --> 00:20:54,953

so we can kind of look to service value there right now.

 

356

00:20:54,953 --> 00:20:59,725

We talked about insurance over the past three years having the big tailwinds

 

357

00:20:59,725 --> 00:21:03,862

behind it. Today the insurance market is changing.

 

358

00:21:03,862 --> 00:21:05,897

Premium increases are flattening out.

 

359

00:21:05,897 --> 00:21:09,935

They were going up by 30%, 30, 35% over

 

360

00:21:09,935 --> 00:21:12,971

the past number of years. That's kind of tapering off.

 

361

00:21:12,971 --> 00:21:18,477

Interest rates are on the way down. They benefited from both of those.

 

362

00:21:18,477 --> 00:21:21,280

You have to look for other tailwinds in other parts of the market and

 

363

00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:24,016

financials. That is kind of where we're spending our time.

 

364

00:21:24,016 --> 00:21:27,286

Real estate companies is another area that we're spending a little bit more

 

365

00:21:27,286 --> 00:21:29,021

time.

 

366

00:21:29,021 --> 00:21:29,588

In Canada or...?

 

367

00:21:29,588 --> 00:21:32,991

Globally.

 

368

00:21:32,991 --> 00:21:37,296

Thematically, spending a lot of time in retail real estate in particular

 

369

00:21:37,296 --> 00:21:41,233

because if you go back over the last decade, from '15 to '19

 

370

00:21:41,233 --> 00:21:44,670

it was all about e-commerce so a lot the retailers were building out their

 

371

00:21:44,670 --> 00:21:49,107

e-commerce operations. Industrial REITs really benefited from that

 

372

00:21:49,107 --> 00:21:53,378

really all the way through COVID. Then 2021 or 2022 that peaked

 

373

00:21:53,378 --> 00:21:55,747

and so they're on their way down.

 

374

00:21:55,747 --> 00:21:59,885

Now all retailers are focused on omnichannel, really high quality bricks

 

375

00:21:59,885 --> 00:22:02,921

and mortar real estate as well to complement their e-commerce offering.

 

376

00:22:04,623 --> 00:22:09,261

What attracts us is that there's been zero new supply in retail

 

377

00:22:09,261 --> 00:22:12,698

and that's what kills all real estate cycles.

 

378

00:22:12,698 --> 00:22:16,201

There's been inflation, a lot of the national tenants are expanding, a lot a

 

379

00:22:16,201 --> 00:22:20,105

demand, no new supply. That's really good for, obviously, your cash flows and

 

380

00:22:20,105 --> 00:22:21,773

your top line going forward.

 

381

00:22:21,773 --> 00:22:25,177

That's fantastic. There's some great questions coming in, some very

 

382

00:22:25,177 --> 00:22:29,047

fund-specific so you can go for it.

 

383

00:22:29,047 --> 00:22:33,618

Can investors access the investments through segregated funds, end-of-fund

 

384

00:22:33,618 --> 00:22:36,822

death guarantees? I mean, these are very specific things that maybe someone

 

385

00:22:36,822 --> 00:22:38,623

else is better to answer.

 

386

00:22:38,623 --> 00:22:41,393

I think someone on our product team should answer that.

 

387

00:22:41,393 --> 00:22:44,563

Look, the funds offered in, obviously, a mutual fund, for retail investors is

 

388

00:22:44,563 --> 00:22:49,768

offered by a mutual fund as well as an ETF.

 

389

00:22:49,768 --> 00:22:52,270

Lots of questions about allocation, I think you've gone through that.

 

390

00:22:52,270 --> 00:22:56,274

Do you want to just sort of actually chunk it out in terms of geographic

 

391

00:22:56,274 --> 00:22:59,544

allocation? That's the question.

 

392

00:22:59,544 --> 00:23:03,548

I think in general you should expect the fund, plus or minus,

 

393

00:23:03,548 --> 00:23:07,619

to be 50, 60-ish% in

 

394

00:23:07,619 --> 00:23:13,525

North America and then 20 to 30% in Europe,

 

395

00:23:13,525 --> 00:23:17,863

and infill in Japan and maybe some very,

 

396

00:23:17,863 --> 00:23:20,432

very select emerging markets.

 

397

00:23:20,432 --> 00:23:24,369

Think of us as more of a transatlantic fund than a pure global

 

398

00:23:24,369 --> 00:23:27,973

fund that is going into every geography top-down, having exposure to every

 

399

00:23:27,973 --> 00:23:33,245

single geography.

 

400

00:23:33,245 --> 00:23:36,148

It's a relatively concentrated fund so when we're doing that we want to have

 

401

00:23:36,148 --> 00:23:38,049

high conviction in all of our ...

 

402

00:23:38,083 --> 00:23:41,186

and build conviction in all of the individual holdings.

 

403

00:23:41,186 --> 00:23:45,323

We don't want to be beholden to having a top-down country

 

404

00:23:45,323 --> 00:23:46,358

allocation.

 

405

00:23:46,358 --> 00:23:50,495

Give us a wild story that's a little bit idiosyncratic

 

406

00:23:50,495 --> 00:23:58,437

Everyone's on the headlines but we often don't talk about

 

407

00:23:58,437 --> 00:24:01,072

... we have 140 analysts around the world that are doing the bottom-up

 

408

00:24:01,072 --> 00:24:06,077

fundamentals. One of things that we like to do, particularly when there's

 

409

00:24:06,077 --> 00:24:09,614

more uncertainty or more volatility in the market, is really try and take

 

410

00:24:09,614 --> 00:24:13,885

advantage of more of the idiosyncratic opportunities.

 

411

00:24:13,885 --> 00:24:16,421

So one-off, change of something.

 

412

00:24:16,421 --> 00:24:20,659

One-off, special situation that's a little less tied to the overall market.

 

413

00:24:20,659 --> 00:24:24,830

One that popped into our top 10 that you'll see now is a company called

 

414

00:24:24,830 --> 00:24:29,668

Dollar Tree. Dollar Tree, everyone in Canada is familiar with Dollarama, Dollar

 

415

00:24:29,668 --> 00:24:34,506

Tree is a dollar store in the United States.

 

416

00:24:34,506 --> 00:24:39,177

They have had an almost decade long period of underperformance.

 

417

00:24:39,177 --> 00:24:45,750

One of the reasons, the primary reason, is they, back in 2015,

 

418

00:24:45,750 --> 00:24:48,587

acquired another concept called Family Dollar.

 

419

00:24:48,587 --> 00:24:53,391

Family Dollar has been a drag on performance for a decade.

 

420

00:24:53,391 --> 00:24:57,329

They announced earlier back in the spring that finally

 

421

00:24:57,329 --> 00:25:02,033

they had found a buyer.

 

422

00:25:02,033 --> 00:25:05,670

Effectively what happened? Inflection points, idiosyncratic inflection point.

 

423

00:25:05,670 --> 00:25:09,774

They're restructuring and they're going to basically cut out the cancer

 

424

00:25:09,774 --> 00:25:11,443

out of this gem that you have.

 

425

00:25:11,443 --> 00:25:15,547

Dollar Tree concept, extremely good, high return

 

426

00:25:15,547 --> 00:25:19,484

on capital, unit economics with

 

427

00:25:19,484 --> 00:25:23,555

a runway for growth, some very interesting things that

 

428

00:25:23,555 --> 00:25:27,259

they're doing strategically to take their price points from a dollar, going to

 

429

00:25:27,259 --> 00:25:30,762

multi-price point, so organically, but it was continually being dragged down.

 

430

00:25:30,762 --> 00:25:34,399

All of a sudden you're cutting this company out and you're left with the pure

 

431

00:25:34,399 --> 00:25:38,436

gem. Those are the types of things from an idiosyncratic perspective that

 

432

00:25:38,436 --> 00:25:42,707

tends to get us excited and tends to, hopefully, have

 

433

00:25:42,707 --> 00:25:46,945

a big chunk of the fund where

 

434

00:25:46,945 --> 00:25:50,048

the performance of the business, the performance the stock, is less dependent

 

435

00:25:50,048 --> 00:25:53,785

on macro factors and can really be driven bottom-up.

 

436

00:25:53,785 --> 00:25:57,989

A company like Dollar Tree, we have a roadmap for that because Dollarama

 

437

00:25:57,989 --> 00:26:02,093

did the multi-price point, they executed on that opportunity over

 

438

00:26:02,093 --> 00:26:06,031

the last 15 years. The management team at Dollar Tree is coming up here, taking

 

439

00:26:06,031 --> 00:26:08,133

a bunch of learnings from what happened in Canada.

 

440

00:26:08,133 --> 00:26:10,402

It's a little bit more competitive down in the U.S. so it's going to be a

 

441

00:26:10,402 --> 00:26:14,239

little bit tougher to execute to the degree that Dollarama has but you just

 

442

00:26:14,239 --> 00:26:17,075

know that when you increase prices, you cede a little of volumes  but it's

 

443

00:26:17,075 --> 00:26:19,744

really good for the top line and the margins of the company.

 

444

00:26:19,744 --> 00:26:24,349

Fantastic. So they spun themselves off, in a way, they kind of did that.

 

445

00:26:24,349 --> 00:26:28,386

Yeah, they divested and they basically

 

446

00:26:28,386 --> 00:26:30,422

got it off their books.

 

447

00:26:30,422 --> 00:26:34,426

As sort of a final point to leave investors with, what do you want them to know

 

448

00:26:34,426 --> 00:26:38,163

about this fund in terms of how it may complement what they're already invested

 

449

00:26:38,163 --> 00:26:42,233

in? Lots of investors are actually invested in the Mag seven in some way,

 

450

00:26:42,233 --> 00:26:44,369

for instance, or they have that exposure.

 

451

00:26:44,369 --> 00:26:46,137

What do you want them to about their fund?

 

452

00:26:46,137 --> 00:26:48,039

Chris, we'll begin with you, give you each sort of [crosstalk].

 

453

00:26:48,039 --> 00:26:50,742

I think it's, again, we've kind of hammered this home over the last few years,

 

454

00:26:50,742 --> 00:26:54,379

it's a good complement to where a lot of investors are positioned today, a lot

 

455

00:26:54,379 --> 00:26:59,250

of U.S., a lot of technology, very little technology in the fund.

 

456

00:26:59,250 --> 00:27:01,653

Focus on different business models, overlooked business models,  business

 

457

00:27:01,653 --> 00:27:05,290

models that are out of favour to really give investors a good complement to

 

458

00:27:05,290 --> 00:27:07,258

what their core holdings are today.

 

459

00:27:07,258 --> 00:27:11,296

I think that we're always trying to expand our client

 

460

00:27:11,296 --> 00:27:13,999

opportunity set.

 

461

00:27:13,999 --> 00:27:18,136

If you're primarily in an S&P 500 fund

 

462

00:27:18,136 --> 00:27:23,174

70%, 80% of your exposure is actually in the top S&P 100 so you're

 

463

00:27:23,174 --> 00:27:27,145

taking a very concentrated bet on a small number of companies.

 

464

00:27:27,145 --> 00:27:29,114

We want to expand that opportunity set.

 

465

00:27:29,114 --> 00:27:32,617

There are a lot of great opportunities out there in smaller companies,

 

466

00:27:32,617 --> 00:27:36,688

companies that are located outside of North America that many client portfolios

 

467

00:27:36,688 --> 00:27:39,024

typically don't have exposure to.

 

468

00:27:39,024 --> 00:27:43,161

Expand the opportunity set, diversify. As Chris said, I think we

 

469

00:27:43,161 --> 00:27:46,831

tend to give you a bit of that diversification outside of north America.

 

470

00:27:46,831 --> 00:27:51,202

So mostly industrials, take us through sort of the three

 

471

00:27:51,202 --> 00:27:53,204

core sectors.

 

472

00:27:53,204 --> 00:27:57,175

Consumer, industrials, financial services tends to be the core of what we do

 

473

00:27:57,175 --> 00:28:00,545

and the core of where we have generated the bulk of our income.

 

474

00:28:00,545 --> 00:28:05,216

And just briefly, is now a perfect time to invest versus a

 

475

00:28:05,216 --> 00:28:07,919

few months ago because of the interest rates? We'll just top and tail this the

 

476

00:28:07,919 --> 00:28:09,954

same way we began.

 

477

00:28:09,954 --> 00:28:13,458

Is it astonishingly a better moment because interest rates, we think, are going

 

478

00:28:13,458 --> 00:28:16,227

down in the United States, for instance?

 

479

00:28:16,227 --> 00:28:19,497

My personal perspective, it's always unclear.

 

480

00:28:19,497 --> 00:28:22,801

Obviously, valuations have moved up a lot over the past few years, there's a

 

481

00:28:22,801 --> 00:28:27,405

lot of anticipation, obviously, of a cutting cycle here.

 

482

00:28:27,405 --> 00:28:29,407

Is the Fed going to cut more than we think?

 

483

00:28:29,407 --> 00:28:31,209

Are they going to be a little bit slower?

 

484

00:28:31,209 --> 00:28:35,180

How's the economy going to do? It's really impossible to know in real time but

 

485

00:28:35,180 --> 00:28:37,549

the good thing is it's an evergreen asset class.

 

486

00:28:37,549 --> 00:28:40,385

There's always mispriced opportunities so in our view it's always a good time

 

487

00:28:40,385 --> 00:28:41,186

to invest.

 

488

00:28:41,186 --> 00:28:44,022

Fantastic. Connor and Chris, thank you very much for joining us here today.

 

489

00:28:44,022 --> 00:28:44,622

Thanks for having us.

 

490

00:28:44,622 --> 00:28:44,923

Thanks.

 

491

00:28:44,923 --> 00:28:48,860

Thanks for watching or listening to the Fidelity Connects

 

492

00:28:48,860 --> 00:28:52,997

podcast. Now if you haven't done so already, please subscribe to Fidelity

 

493

00:28:52,997 --> 00:28:55,800

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494

00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:58,636

And if you like what you're hearing, please leave a review or a five-star

 

495

00:28:58,636 --> 00:29:02,607

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496

00:29:02,607 --> 00:29:05,977

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497

00:29:05,977 --> 00:29:09,681

Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information.

 

498

00:29:09,681 --> 00:29:13,518

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499

00:29:13,518 --> 00:29:17,655

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500

00:29:17,655 --> 00:29:18,957

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501

00:29:18,957 --> 00:29:21,826

We'll end today's show with a short disclaimer.

 

502

00:29:21,826 --> 00:29:25,663

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are those of the participants,

 

503

00:29:25,663 --> 00:29:29,601

and do not necessarily reflect those of Fidelity Investments Canada ULC or

 

504

00:29:29,601 --> 00:29:33,605

its affiliates. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and should not

 

505

00:29:33,605 --> 00:29:36,141

be construed as investment, tax, or legal advice.

 

506

00:29:36,141 --> 00:29:38,443

It is not an offer to sell or buy.

 

507

00:29:38,443 --> 00:29:42,781

Or an endorsement, recommendation, or sponsorship of any entity or securities

 

508

00:29:42,781 --> 00:29:47,585

cited. Read a fund's prospectus before investing, funds are not guaranteed.

 

509

00:29:47,585 --> 00:29:51,156

Their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated.

 

510

00:29:51,156 --> 00:29:53,491

Fees, expenses, and commissions are all associated

 

511

00:29:53,491 --> 00:29:55,293

with fund investments.

 

512

00:29:55,293 --> 00:29:57,328

Thanks again. We'll see you next time.

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