FidelityConnects: Exploring digital assets – Bitcoin and beyond

As 2025 comes to a close, the digital asset space continues to evolve, and market participants are watching closely. Join Chris Kuiper, Vice President of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets, for a timely and insightful look at the current state of bitcoin and the broader digital asset landscape. From institutional adoption to regulatory developments and market trends, Chris breaks down what’s driving momentum, what’s changing and what it all may mean for you heading into 2026.

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Thank you for joining us today on Fidelity Connects.

 

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I'm Colin Randall, Director of Research at Fidelity Investments

 

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Canada. It could be said that digital asset markets have been on a

 

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roller coaster in 2025.

 

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Bitcoin kicked off the year strong helped by significant spot ETF

 

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inflows and continued institutional money pushing

 

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the asset to a new all-time high of 175,000

 

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Canadian dollars in early October.

 

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Ethereum followed on a similar pattern reaching roughly

 

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$5,600 at its October peak.

 

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Since then, prices have reversed and Bitcoin has slid from its

 

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high to around $120,000 just recently.

 

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Of course, digital assets have not been just about volatility this

 

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year. A major development happened on the regulatory front, the

 

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Genius Act in the U.S. and the Stablecoin Act here in Canada,

 

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first of its kind in this country, among other countries around the

 

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world who are currently on a similar path.

 

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Joining us today to talk about these developments and more is Chris

 

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Kuiper, Vice President of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets.

 

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Just as a reminder, today's show has live French audio

 

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interpretation. Chris, thanks very much for joining us.

 

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Yeah, thank you for having me. Great to be here.

 

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Well, I think we have to start with the markets.

 

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We were just chatting before we came on.

 

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It seems that the market slide that we've been seeing over the

 

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last several week, at least currently, is on a significant upswing.

 

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Maybe we could start with the price of Bitcoin.

 

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What's been driving Bitcoin year to date and particularly

 

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in the last several weeks?

 

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We'll start at the bigger picture, some of the things you mentioned.

 

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Zooming out to the full year here, it certainly has not shaped up

 

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to be the year that most people were expecting.

 

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I'll even include myself in that category.

 

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That's because with Bitcoin and crypto in general you've had

 

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traditionally these four-year cycles, and we were in the third year

 

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of the cycle, the bull market year.

 

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This is typically when the biggest gains are made.

 

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It looked like things were shaping up to be like that.

 

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As you said, new all-time highs were made, largely driven by

 

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the exchange trade products, as you mentioned, and then the rise of

 

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these digital asset treasury companies or DATs as they're being

 

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called. These are companies that are buying digital assets and

 

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putting them on their balance sheet.

 

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That drove the market higher throughout the year.

 

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We hit those new all-time highs, things were looking good, and then

 

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we really just chopped and consolidated over the $100,000

 

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U.S. dollar mark for us here.

 

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We saw a consistent selling from a major cohort

 

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which were long term holders.

 

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Now, because this information is on the blockchain it's verifiable

 

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and observable. We could see people who had held coins

 

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for five, seven years or even more were constantly

 

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selling them into the bull market rally.

 

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Now, that's not a bad thing.

 

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We see this all the time with each cycle.

 

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You get a rotation of the investor base.

 

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People who held a long time, who had very early conviction,

 

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they finally wanted to sell a portion of their Bitcoin

 

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holdings. They wanted to realize some of those gains.

 

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People have to live, they've got dreams, they've got aspirations.

 

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We've seen this anecdotally. We saw from a very large trading firm

 

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that's publicly traded, they made a press announcement that they

 

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helped liquidate $8 to $9 billion of

 

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someone's Bitcoin holdings for estate planning purposes.

 

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Now, to me, I looked at that and I said, the fact that they

 

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liquidated that much and the price hasn't gone below $100,000

 

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at the time, this was this past summer or fall, that just shows how

 

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big this market has become.

 

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So that wasn't a bad thing. But then you saw those two

 

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major demand drivers dry up.

 

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The exchange-traded products have paused or slowed or even

 

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reversed here and we've seen the digital asset

 

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treasury companies pause or slow down their buying as

 

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well. That's why we've seen a lot of weakness in the price action.

 

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To get to your question, to end on the more recent action, you have

 

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to go back to October 10, 10/10 we saw a huge liquidation

 

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event. This was on the concerns of more

 

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tariffs, especially on China.

 

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You saw 10 to 20 billion dollars being liquidated.

 

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That was more than the fallout from FTX, if you remember that

 

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fiasco.

 

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The fact that we had that big of a liquidation and it didn't

 

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make near as big of a dent in the market again shows how far we've

 

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come, how big this market, how deep and liquid it is.

 

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But it's been a negative overhang ever since.

 

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Yesterday you had maybe some unwinding of the Japanese

 

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yen carry trade with Japanese yields really spiking

 

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here, some more macro uncertainties.

 

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You saw Bitcoin sell off, a lot of liquidations there.

 

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Then today we're ripping back higher

 

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as a lot of these liquidations got reset.

 

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A lot of stuff going on here.

 

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The other thing I'll point to, though, is the record run in precious

 

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metals we've seen, both gold and now a new all-time high in silver.

 

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Bitcoin, as you may know, has the same characteristics as

 

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gold and even improves upon some of them.

 

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They're driven by a lot of the same fundamental factors but they

 

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don't move together. They often take turns and trade off

 

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around every 90 days or so.

 

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That's something we'll be watching in the next few months and going

 

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into 2026.

 

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It's great context.

 

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Even with this selling pressure that we've seen over the last couple

 

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weeks the crypto market still has market capitalization

 

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well north of three trillion USD, north of

 

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four trillion in Canadian dollars, so even with this downward

 

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pressure we can see enormous market and certainly growth

 

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in digital assets.

 

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You mentioned DATs or digital asset Treasuries,

 

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we're seeing some headlines this morning about DATs.

 

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Just for the audience, what are DATs?

 

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Explain what are DATs and what has been driving their price

 

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movement.

 

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I think there's two buckets to distinguish here.

 

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There's companies that may purchase Bitcoin as

 

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just part of their cash management strategy.

 

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They want to diversify some of their cash out of maybe

 

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low yielding Treasuries or short-term debt and they

 

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want to preserve their purchasing power for the long term as a

 

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company, as a going concern.

 

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We've seen a few companies, even publicly traded ones, that put

 

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around 5% or so of their cash into Bitcoin.

 

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That's one bucket.

 

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What you saw dominate this last year, and certainly in the news

 

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today, is a different type of company where they're using

 

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their position as a corporation, and especially as

 

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a publicly traded company with access to the credit markets, to

 

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issue debt and use that debt to buy Bitcoin.

 

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Think of it more of as like a like an arbitrage.

 

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It's especially prevalent in other countries where they have

 

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different geographic restrictions or different tax laws

 

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where people either can't get spot exposure to Bitcoin

 

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or it's maybe not very tax advantageous to do so, so they're

 

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getting the exposure through these companies instead.

 

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Again, that's just what they are.

 

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The issue for investors, and the bottom line, I think, to really

 

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know and understand about these, they hold a certain amount

 

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of Bitcoin or other digital assets on their balance sheet but their

 

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shares, the value of their shares in market cap may trade above

 

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that. If you're trying to get exposure to these assets you might

 

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be paying, in effect, a premium to that underlying

 

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exposure. If you buy at a premium there's the chance

 

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that the premium can shrink and you can actually

 

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be behind. Again, depending on where you purchase

 

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these the stock can go down more than the price

 

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of Bitcoin, or vice versa, the stock can go up

 

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more than the price of Bitcoin or whatever digital asset they hold.

 

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That's the thing for investors to realize with these vehicles.

 

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You're getting exposure but you're getting it either in a leveraged

 

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way or you're buying them at a premium or a discount.

 

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Versus, say, investing in an ETF or a mutual fund which

 

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is striking a NAV every day and and avoiding that premium or

 

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discount. That's a great point.

 

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Could I ask about Ethereum?

 

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That's sort of the the big number two in the digital asset space.

 

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It tends to follow Bitcoin.

 

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Is it being driven by the same types of pressures that Bitcoin is?

 

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Overall, it does move.

 

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The correlation is still very high between Ethereum and Bitcoin.

 

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It does get lumped in with the crypto basket.

 

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Given that's usually around about a fifth of the size of Bitcoin in

 

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terms of market cap it tends to be more volatile.

 

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However, we are seeing Ethereum have its own cycles and it's

 

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being driven by its own fundamentals, whether that's upgrades coming

 

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down the pipe or activity on the blockchain,

 

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or we saw with this crop of digital asset treasury companies,

 

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this past year a couple of them went and bought

 

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loads of Ethereum rather than Bitcoin.

 

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That pushed the correlation apart from Bitcoin for Ethereum

 

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as well. Overall, long term still very correlated and even

 

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more so more volatile but starting

 

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to decouple and it might have its own cycles as well.

 

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That's great. Maybe staying on smart contracts blockchains

 

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and, of course, Ethereum is a different architecture than Bitcoin

 

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in that it offers smart contracts and sort of programmable

 

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money. Solana is something that your team

 

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has been following for quite some time and just recently published

 

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a report on the Solana ecosystem.

 

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Could you share, first of all, what is Solana, how is

 

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it distinct from Ethereum or Bitcoin, and what are you looking

 

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at in that crypto space?

 

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What do you find appealing and what should investors be thinking

 

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about as it relates to Solana?

 

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Great question. Number one, we do think you have to separate

 

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Bitcoin from everything else.

 

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Bitcoin, we believe, is best understood as a monetary good,

 

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so a potential store of value.

 

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You can think of it like a digital commodity, it has a

 

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hard supply cap. People are

 

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treating it as a money so that has its own

 

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investment thesis.

 

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Then there's everything else. That's not to say everything else is

 

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worse or better, you just have to have a different investment thesis

 

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and lens. These things are, as you said, they're smart contract

 

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platforms so they're more programmable.

 

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You can build stuff on top of them, build applications on top of

 

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them. They're trying to solve a different problem, and there's a

 

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different product market fit there but there's also a lot more

 

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competition. Whereas I, for example, don't see anything

 

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competing with Bitcoin in the near term there's way more competition

 

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between all these other things.

 

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You mentioned Ethereum and Solana.

 

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What is Ethereum? You could consider it a successor

 

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to Ethereum, so Solana is a successor to

 

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Ethereum, and therefore it's much more of a competitor

 

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because they're both smart contract platforms.

 

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What this means is they're like a distributed computer.

 

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You can build decentralized applications on top

 

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of them. Now, somewhat different than Ethereum, Solana

 

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prioritizes and focuses on speed

 

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and low costs, and along with that high bandwidth, low latency or

 

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fast response time. It's trying to be a lot faster and

 

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cheaper. Now, not surprisingly, the applications that are being

 

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built on Solana are things where you want speed and low

 

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latency. So trading, trading is the number one application on

 

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Solana today. This is why Solana's own stated

 

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goal, a very audacious goal, is to bring the entire

 

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financial system, the existing traditional financial system,

 

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onto its platform, onto its blockchain.

 

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Now, that comes with some trade-offs, right?

 

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You can't do something better than Ethereum without some engineering

 

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trade-offs. This is something we talk about a lot.

 

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Investors need to be aware of this.

 

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Number one, Solana's infrastructure is more expensive to run.

 

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You need beefier computers and components to run this

 

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network. That means fewer people are going to run

 

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these validators or these computers running the network.

 

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It's more expensive so it's less accessible.

 

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00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:32,218

That means Solana compared to Ethereum is less decentralized.

 

230

00:12:32,218 --> 00:12:35,588

You have to decide if that is something that matters to you.

 

231

00:12:35,588 --> 00:12:39,024

Do you want control to be in the hands of fewer people or do you

 

232

00:12:39,024 --> 00:12:42,628

want control to be dispersed among more people around

 

233

00:12:42,628 --> 00:12:44,130

the world?

 

234

00:12:44,130 --> 00:12:47,266

This is why we see even though Solana has a lot of activity, it has a

 

235

00:12:47,266 --> 00:12:50,703

lot of transactions, most of the value

 

236

00:12:50,703 --> 00:12:54,140

is still on Ethereum. I think that's for a number

 

237

00:12:54,140 --> 00:12:57,510

of reasons. Number one, Ethereum was first, it's been around longer,

 

238

00:12:57,510 --> 00:13:01,313

people trust it more and it's more decentralized and people

 

239

00:13:01,313 --> 00:13:04,850

are valuing that for higher dollar amounts being locked up

 

240

00:13:04,850 --> 00:13:06,685

in that network. But we'll see.

 

241

00:13:06,685 --> 00:13:08,988

This is a big question for investors going forward.

 

242

00:13:08,988 --> 00:13:10,689

What does the market want?

 

243

00:13:10,689 --> 00:13:13,893

What is the value? Where's the market share gonna go between these

 

244

00:13:13,893 --> 00:13:15,895

two?

 

245

00:13:15,895 --> 00:13:19,331

You mentioned that if Solana's grand dreams

 

246

00:13:19,331 --> 00:13:22,768

or plans are to, effectively, form the

 

247

00:13:22,768 --> 00:13:26,438

basis of the financial system going forward, how would

 

248

00:13:26,438 --> 00:13:30,309

Ethereum approach that, I guess, area?

 

249

00:13:30,309 --> 00:13:35,347

Is it focusing on different types of projects?

 

250

00:13:35,347 --> 00:13:37,249

It's also wanting to do that.

 

251

00:13:37,249 --> 00:13:40,953

Still a large bulk of the decentralized finance

 

252

00:13:40,953 --> 00:13:43,088

applications are still on Ethereum.

 

253

00:13:43,088 --> 00:13:46,292

Number one, most of the stablecoins are still on Ethereum.

 

254

00:13:46,292 --> 00:13:50,796

Most of the value locked up on stablecoins is on Ethereum.

 

255

00:13:50,796 --> 00:13:54,233

Most of the DeFi stuff is on Ethereum, think of like

 

256

00:13:54,233 --> 00:13:58,537

lending and borrowing on the network, that's mostly on Ethereum.

 

257

00:13:58,537 --> 00:14:01,674

We see this with ... Ethereum has regular upgrades too.

 

258

00:14:01,674 --> 00:14:04,210

We have another one coming up in just a couple days here.

 

259

00:14:04,210 --> 00:14:06,312

It's gonna be live.

 

260

00:14:06,312 --> 00:14:09,982

We see Ethereum focusing on these things as well.

 

261

00:14:09,982 --> 00:14:11,650

Again, this gets down to the big questions.

 

262

00:14:11,650 --> 00:14:14,954

They need to choose where they want to compete with Solana and where

 

263

00:14:14,954 --> 00:14:18,157

they don't. For our investors the questions will be, is this gonna be

 

264

00:14:18,157 --> 00:14:21,660

a winner take all or winner take most scenario, or is there room in

 

265

00:14:21,660 --> 00:14:25,497

the market for two different networks serving

 

266

00:14:25,497 --> 00:14:29,535

different purposes, different consumers, different applications.

 

267

00:14:29,535 --> 00:14:33,372

That's great. I tend to think of these in terms of the blockchain

 

268

00:14:33,372 --> 00:14:36,709

trilemma where there's this balancing app between security,

 

269

00:14:36,709 --> 00:14:39,879

scalability and decentralization, just as you said, Chris.

 

270

00:14:39,879 --> 00:14:43,515

Where Ethereum can potentially offer greater

 

271

00:14:43,515 --> 00:14:47,286

security and decentralization that may come at the expense

 

272

00:14:47,286 --> 00:14:50,723

of scalability, whereas it seems, from what you're saying, Solana

 

273

00:14:50,723 --> 00:14:55,127

is really focusing on that scalability and might need to give up on

 

274

00:14:55,127 --> 00:14:57,429

the decentralization and security as a result.

 

275

00:14:57,429 --> 00:15:00,099

Is that a fair assessment?

 

276

00:15:00,099 --> 00:15:01,634

Yeah, that's a great way to think about it.

 

277

00:15:01,634 --> 00:15:04,436

I think investors need to be aware of that.

 

278

00:15:04,436 --> 00:15:07,072

There's no free lunch, these things come at a trade-off.

 

279

00:15:07,072 --> 00:15:09,875

The other trade-off that we've seen with Solana, and it's less so of

 

280

00:15:09,875 --> 00:15:13,479

an issue today, is we did see the network go down

 

281

00:15:13,479 --> 00:15:16,682

a number of times. That hasn't happened in a long time.

 

282

00:15:16,682 --> 00:15:20,419

Again, if you have fewer people running it it's more

 

283

00:15:20,419 --> 00:15:24,290

technically complicated to get these really, really fast things

 

284

00:15:24,290 --> 00:15:25,858

synchronized and done.

 

285

00:15:25,858 --> 00:15:29,328

There is some extra risk with Solana on the technical side of

 

286

00:15:29,328 --> 00:15:30,429

things as well.

 

287

00:15:30,429 --> 00:15:31,530

Great, great.

 

288

00:15:31,530 --> 00:15:34,733

Hello, investors. We'll be back to the show in just a moment.

 

289

00:15:34,733 --> 00:15:38,304

I wanted to share that here at Fidelity, we value your opinion.

 

290

00:15:38,304 --> 00:15:40,606

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291

00:15:40,606 --> 00:15:45,711

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292

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293

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294

00:15:50,749 --> 00:15:54,353

And don't forget to listen to Fidelity Connects, the Upside, and French

 

295

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DialoguesFidelity podcasts available on Apple, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever

 

296

00:15:58,390 --> 00:16:02,594

else you get your podcasts. Now back to today's show.

 

297

00:16:02,594 --> 00:16:05,064

Okay, shifting gears now, want to talk about

 

298

00:16:05,064 --> 00:16:06,598

stablecoins.

 

299

00:16:06,598 --> 00:16:10,035

2025 has been an interesting year of announcements related

 

300

00:16:10,035 --> 00:16:13,238

to stablecoins from governments in the U.S.

 

301

00:16:13,238 --> 00:16:16,976

Just recently here in Canada, the recent federal budget,

 

302

00:16:16,976 --> 00:16:20,679

the Canadian government unveiled a new framework that

 

303

00:16:20,679 --> 00:16:22,348

would regulate stablecoins.

 

304

00:16:22,348 --> 00:16:26,185

This, of course, follows the passing of the Genius Act in the U.S.

 

305

00:16:26,185 --> 00:16:29,621

back in July. Maybe we can start with the basics, what

 

306

00:16:29,621 --> 00:16:34,727

is a stablecoin and what is it used for?

 

307

00:16:34,727 --> 00:16:38,097

The simple definition of a stablecoin is it's a cryptocurrency, so

 

308

00:16:38,097 --> 00:16:40,899

it's like all these other tokens that sit on a blockchain.

 

309

00:16:40,899 --> 00:16:43,702

It runs on these crypto rails and networks.

 

310

00:16:43,702 --> 00:16:45,938

But it's, well, stable.

 

311

00:16:45,938 --> 00:16:49,541

Its design is to not fluctuate in

 

312

00:16:49,541 --> 00:16:52,978

value against a currency like the U.S.

 

313

00:16:52,978 --> 00:16:56,415

dollar or the Canadian dollar so it's pegged to

 

314

00:16:56,415 --> 00:17:00,019

another currency or sometimes a commodity, there's

 

315

00:17:00,019 --> 00:17:03,622

gold and stuff like that, and therefore it's backed by

 

316

00:17:03,622 --> 00:17:05,290

this other currency.

 

317

00:17:05,290 --> 00:17:06,892

It has a reserve behind it.

 

318

00:17:06,892 --> 00:17:08,427

Now, that's different than Bitcoin.

 

319

00:17:08,427 --> 00:17:11,930

There's nothing that you

 

320

00:17:11,930 --> 00:17:13,699

can redeem for Bitcoin.

 

321

00:17:13,699 --> 00:17:16,168

You can't bring your Bitcoin in and redeem it for something else,

 

322

00:17:16,168 --> 00:17:19,371

it's just Bitcoin. It's like a commodity  like something is just

 

323

00:17:19,371 --> 00:17:22,808

gold. Or even today, it's just a dollar.

 

324

00:17:22,808 --> 00:17:26,412

The idea of the stablecoin is that it's pegged, it doesn't

 

325

00:17:26,412 --> 00:17:27,713

fluctuate.

 

326

00:17:27,713 --> 00:17:30,516

What is it used for, three main things, really.

 

327

00:17:30,516 --> 00:17:34,186

Stablecoins have been on an absolute run

 

328

00:17:34,186 --> 00:17:36,355

in terms of their creation.

 

329

00:17:36,355 --> 00:17:38,991

We've gotten hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of stablecoins

 

330

00:17:38,991 --> 00:17:42,661

nowadays because they found this perfect product market fit.

 

331

00:17:42,661 --> 00:17:46,131

The three main uses we see it being used for is number one, trading

 

332

00:17:46,131 --> 00:17:47,800

payers and DeFi.

 

333

00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:51,303

If you're on an exchange, you want to trade out of your position

 

334

00:17:51,303 --> 00:17:55,474

in Bitcoin or Ethereum, you want to go to something stable

 

335

00:17:55,474 --> 00:17:58,977

and get volatility off your books, you

 

336

00:17:58,977 --> 00:18:01,947

can go to the U.S. dollar but then your exchange is going to be set

 

337

00:18:01,947 --> 00:18:04,817

up to accept and take U.S.

 

338

00:18:04,817 --> 00:18:07,920

dollars or Canadian dollars with the whole banking system, whereas

 

339

00:18:07,920 --> 00:18:11,523

it's a lot easier to just trade into a stablecoin.

 

340

00:18:11,523 --> 00:18:15,761

These are the most highest traded payers out there.

 

341

00:18:15,761 --> 00:18:18,964

All of DeFi uses stablecoins so if you're borrowing or lending

 

342

00:18:18,964 --> 00:18:21,867

on-chain that all uses stablecoins.

 

343

00:18:21,867 --> 00:18:23,602

The other two is just moving money.

 

344

00:18:23,602 --> 00:18:27,206

Moving money across borders is a big one, remittances, much,

 

345

00:18:27,206 --> 00:18:30,642

much, much, much cheaper to move stablecoins anywhere in the

 

346

00:18:30,642 --> 00:18:34,179

world rather than use a wire, ACH, a company

 

347

00:18:34,179 --> 00:18:36,348

like Western Union, something like that.

 

348

00:18:36,348 --> 00:18:39,451

Those have average fees around the world of 7%.

 

349

00:18:39,451 --> 00:18:42,654

And then just payments. You can use stablecoins to pay for things

 

350

00:18:42,654 --> 00:18:46,425

because it is a stable currency just like using the Canadian

 

351

00:18:46,425 --> 00:18:47,893

dollar or the U.S. dollar.

 

352

00:18:47,893 --> 00:18:51,497

Right. There are centralized stablecoins which are what

 

353

00:18:51,497 --> 00:18:54,800

are being announced by the governments, there are also decentralized

 

354

00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:57,436

stablecoins. Picking up on that conversation we were having about

 

355

00:18:57,436 --> 00:19:02,040

Solana what's the difference between the two?

 

356

00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,910

What I think you're getting at is whether or not there's a central

 

357

00:19:04,910 --> 00:19:06,578

issuer behind the coin.

 

358

00:19:06,578 --> 00:19:10,582

And most stablecoins today, and by far

 

359

00:19:10,582 --> 00:19:14,019

the most popular ones today, are all centralized,

 

360

00:19:14,019 --> 00:19:18,357

if you will, meaning they are issued by a company

 

361

00:19:18,357 --> 00:19:21,160

or an organization.

 

362

00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:24,596

This company will take in dollars, people will send or wire in

 

363

00:19:24,596 --> 00:19:28,200

something like U.S. dollars, and then they will mint or

 

364

00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:31,303

create the stablecoin on the blockchain.

 

365

00:19:31,303 --> 00:19:34,973

Then they're responsible for holding that asset or investing those

 

366

00:19:34,973 --> 00:19:38,410

dollars to back the stablecoin.

 

367

00:19:38,410 --> 00:19:39,945

They can also do the reverse.

 

368

00:19:39,945 --> 00:19:42,915

You can send your stablecoins in and say, I'd like to redeem this and

 

369

00:19:42,915 --> 00:19:45,050

then they'll give you back the dollars and burn it.

 

370

00:19:45,050 --> 00:19:47,719

Now, that's done at a very high level with big players and

 

371

00:19:47,719 --> 00:19:51,290

institutions but that's the point of a centralized

 

372

00:19:51,290 --> 00:19:52,424

issuer.

 

373

00:19:52,424 --> 00:19:55,861

Not as popular yet are these decentralized solutions where they do

 

374

00:19:55,861 --> 00:19:59,531

everything on the blockchain. There's no central company, party,

 

375

00:19:59,531 --> 00:20:03,001

issuer, it's all done with software on the blockchain with

 

376

00:20:03,001 --> 00:20:06,905

these smart contracts where you send in some kind of collateral

 

377

00:20:06,905 --> 00:20:10,742

like Bitcoin or Ethereum and they'll issue you a stablecoin.

 

378

00:20:10,742 --> 00:20:14,012

Now, because of this they're often over collateralized so you have to

 

379

00:20:14,012 --> 00:20:17,449

send in more of something like a Bitcoin because you can't send

 

380

00:20:17,449 --> 00:20:19,618

in dollars usually.

 

381

00:20:19,618 --> 00:20:22,921

They're not as popular, mostly what we're talking about is

 

382

00:20:22,921 --> 00:20:26,358

centralized issuers. Now, that's different than what you noted about

 

383

00:20:26,358 --> 00:20:29,695

the governments, though. Whether or not the government is involved is

 

384

00:20:29,695 --> 00:20:34,433

a separate issue or question.

 

385

00:20:34,433 --> 00:20:36,902

That's great. It's a very interesting space that we'll want to keep

 

386

00:20:36,902 --> 00:20:40,505

an eye on but certainly nice to see, good to

 

387

00:20:40,505 --> 00:20:44,109

see, governments playing a more active role in the

 

388

00:20:44,109 --> 00:20:47,646

regulation of digital assets and further,

 

389

00:20:47,646 --> 00:20:51,316

I think, further adopting these as legitimate financial

 

390

00:20:51,316 --> 00:20:54,820

assets. Maybe we could shift gears and talk

 

391

00:20:54,820 --> 00:20:57,723

about quantum computing.

 

392

00:20:57,723 --> 00:21:01,393

That's been another theme in crypto circles

 

393

00:21:01,393 --> 00:21:03,962

that folks are paying more attention to.

 

394

00:21:03,962 --> 00:21:06,431

I think there have been some interesting developments in terms of

 

395

00:21:06,431 --> 00:21:09,301

quantum computers in recent months.

 

396

00:21:09,301 --> 00:21:12,838

What are your thoughts there, does this pose a risk to digital

 

397

00:21:12,838 --> 00:21:15,240

assets?

 

398

00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:18,243

It's one of the number one questions we've been getting as these

 

399

00:21:18,243 --> 00:21:21,613

developments and seeming advances are being made with quantum

 

400

00:21:21,613 --> 00:21:23,782

computers. Does it pose a risk?

 

401

00:21:23,782 --> 00:21:25,284

I would say yes.

 

402

00:21:25,284 --> 00:21:28,720

I don't think there's a lot of debate over the fact

 

403

00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,391

that if a quantum computer were developed, or developed to

 

404

00:21:32,391 --> 00:21:35,927

enough of a level of power,

 

405

00:21:35,927 --> 00:21:39,431

it would be able to crack some of the encryption that

 

406

00:21:39,431 --> 00:21:41,366

is used in Bitcoin.

 

407

00:21:41,366 --> 00:21:44,803

Now, to be clear, though, if a quantum computer gets to

 

408

00:21:44,803 --> 00:21:48,173

this level it's going to be able to crack encryption on all kinds of

 

409

00:21:48,173 --> 00:21:52,010

things, banks, governments, three-letter intelligence agencies,

 

410

00:21:52,010 --> 00:21:56,014

you name it. This is why this issue of quantum computing

 

411

00:21:56,014 --> 00:21:58,950

has been worked on for decades.

 

412

00:21:58,950 --> 00:22:02,087

Computer scientists and government agencies all over the world

 

413

00:22:02,087 --> 00:22:06,558

recognize this as a potential scenario and threat

 

414

00:22:06,558 --> 00:22:08,794

so they've been working on it for decades.

 

415

00:22:08,794 --> 00:22:12,331

The question is when it will happen, and there's

 

416

00:22:12,331 --> 00:22:15,434

a lot of debate. We talk to people in the industry all the time on

 

417

00:22:15,434 --> 00:22:18,970

this and we've gotten anywhere from this could happen in a

 

418

00:22:18,970 --> 00:22:23,642

year or two to this is at least 20 to 30 years out yet.

 

419

00:22:23,642 --> 00:22:26,745

There is not consensus as to where this is.

 

420

00:22:26,745 --> 00:22:30,182

But as you know, technology can move, it doesn't move in a linear

 

421

00:22:30,182 --> 00:22:33,785

line so we may wake up tomorrow and someone announces that

 

422

00:22:33,785 --> 00:22:37,322

they've done it, they finally created a quantum

 

423

00:22:37,322 --> 00:22:39,891

computer capable of cracking encryption.

 

424

00:22:39,891 --> 00:22:42,194

It's not just a problem for Bitcoin.

 

425

00:22:42,194 --> 00:22:45,464

The other thing to note is that we have a solution.

 

426

00:22:45,464 --> 00:22:49,000

It's not like if this happens we don't

 

427

00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,204

have anything at all. There's actually quite a number of solutions

 

428

00:22:52,204 --> 00:22:55,640

available. I've been to technical conferences where

 

429

00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:58,677

people have presented these and the people who work on the Bitcoin

 

430

00:22:58,677 --> 00:23:01,012

software are debating this.

 

431

00:23:01,012 --> 00:23:04,583

It's a matter of which one do we want to use and adopt

 

432

00:23:04,583 --> 00:23:06,351

because, again, they come with trade-offs.

 

433

00:23:06,351 --> 00:23:10,288

They come with different trade-offs in terms of how much resources

 

434

00:23:10,288 --> 00:23:14,025

they'll take up and size and availability and all of that.

 

435

00:23:14,025 --> 00:23:14,993

We have solutions.

 

436

00:23:14,993 --> 00:23:18,663

I think the bigger risk is because Bitcoin is

 

437

00:23:18,663 --> 00:23:22,100

completely decentralized, it's not controlled by any one

 

438

00:23:22,100 --> 00:23:25,804

person, corporation or government, you have to get consensus

 

439

00:23:25,804 --> 00:23:30,108

of the entire community. It's governance by consensus.

 

440

00:23:30,108 --> 00:23:33,545

The bigger risk is if something happened with

 

441

00:23:33,545 --> 00:23:36,982

quantum overnight that would not give the Bitcoin community

 

442

00:23:36,982 --> 00:23:38,750

a lot of time to respond.

 

443

00:23:38,750 --> 00:23:41,720

It takes time to build these consensus changes.

 

444

00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:45,323

If the code needs to be updated or changed

 

445

00:23:45,323 --> 00:23:47,325

we ideally want more time to do that.

 

446

00:23:47,325 --> 00:23:50,529

It's something that's being worked on, it is a threat.

 

447

00:23:50,529 --> 00:23:53,632

I don't think it's as big of a threat as people think it is.

 

448

00:23:53,632 --> 00:23:57,068

The other note on that is that even if someone

 

449

00:23:57,068 --> 00:24:01,139

does crack it the whole network doesn't just stop working.

 

450

00:24:01,139 --> 00:24:04,609

The most likely thing that will happen is that there's some very old

 

451

00:24:04,609 --> 00:24:08,280

Bitcoin in old address types

 

452

00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,316

that could be cracked first.

 

453

00:24:11,316 --> 00:24:14,986

The worst thing that could happen is these coins are then

 

454

00:24:14,986 --> 00:24:19,491

stolen or gotten control of by someone with a quantum computer.

 

455

00:24:19,491 --> 00:24:22,994

You could think of that almost like a bounty for someone who

 

456

00:24:22,994 --> 00:24:24,996

cracks this first.

 

457

00:24:24,996 --> 00:24:29,067

They'll get access to quite a few billions of dollars of Bitcoin.

 

458

00:24:29,067 --> 00:24:31,803

The key is, whether you think that's good or bad, the key is that

 

459

00:24:31,803 --> 00:24:33,405

doesn't break the network.

 

460

00:24:33,405 --> 00:24:37,642

The network still works, the supply cap is still in place,

 

461

00:24:37,642 --> 00:24:39,244

all the other rules stay the same.

 

462

00:24:39,244 --> 00:24:43,081

So something we're certainly watching and it's got a lot of

 

463

00:24:43,081 --> 00:24:45,250

interesting angles here to look at.

 

464

00:24:45,250 --> 00:24:47,886

It sounds like the developer community has been thinking about this

 

465

00:24:47,886 --> 00:24:51,590

for some time. I think it's been over 10 years that

 

466

00:24:51,590 --> 00:24:55,093

I've seen quantum computing being discussed among engineers

 

467

00:24:55,093 --> 00:24:56,895

in the crypto space so this isn't new.

 

468

00:24:56,895 --> 00:25:00,465

To your point I guess it's just more of a question mark of when

 

469

00:25:00,465 --> 00:25:05,470

Q Day ultimately occurs.

 

470

00:25:05,470 --> 00:25:09,207

For investors, the thing to be careful of is with

 

471

00:25:09,207 --> 00:25:12,744

any risk or big change that is legitimate, like quantum,

 

472

00:25:12,744 --> 00:25:16,181

there's, unfortunately, going to be people who take advantage of

 

473

00:25:16,181 --> 00:25:19,851

this and start to cam and defraud people, saying

 

474

00:25:19,851 --> 00:25:23,288

you need to move your coins to this address so it's quantum

 

475

00:25:23,288 --> 00:25:26,992

resistant, or you need to upgrade this and click on this link.

 

476

00:25:26,992 --> 00:25:31,930

If any of you deal with your coins personally

 

477

00:25:31,930 --> 00:25:33,732

just be very careful out there, is what I'll say.

 

478

00:25:33,732 --> 00:25:35,233

That's a great, great point.

 

479

00:25:35,233 --> 00:25:38,203

Actually, that ties into a question that we've just received from the

 

480

00:25:38,203 --> 00:25:42,207

audience asking about Fidelity's approach to

 

481

00:25:42,207 --> 00:25:46,344

custodying Bitcoin for the funds, for example.

 

482

00:25:46,344 --> 00:25:50,315

Could you shed some light on that?

 

483

00:25:50,315 --> 00:25:54,019

One of the interesting things about our history is

 

484

00:25:54,019 --> 00:25:57,856

Fidelity back in 2012, or even earlier, discovered

 

485

00:25:57,856 --> 00:25:59,758

Bitcoin. They started playing around with it.

 

486

00:25:59,758 --> 00:26:02,727

There's this group at Fidelity called the Fidelity Centre for Applied

 

487

00:26:02,727 --> 00:26:06,398

Technology where they are constantly

 

488

00:26:06,398 --> 00:26:09,935

looking on the horizon for new things either to augment

 

489

00:26:09,935 --> 00:26:12,804

their business or that could potentially upend our business.

 

490

00:26:12,804 --> 00:26:15,540

They found Bitcoin, and what's fun about this group is they don't

 

491

00:26:15,540 --> 00:26:18,476

just read about it and write about it, they get their hands dirty.

 

492

00:26:18,476 --> 00:26:22,013

They started mining it first and then they realized, well, if we want

 

493

00:26:22,013 --> 00:26:25,216

to hold it how do we do that, how do we custody this?

 

494

00:26:25,216 --> 00:26:29,220

There was no institutional enterprise grade custody

 

495

00:26:29,220 --> 00:26:31,456

solution out there so we built our own.

 

496

00:26:31,456 --> 00:26:32,791

That is what we still have today.

 

497

00:26:32,791 --> 00:26:36,261

We have our own custody solution built from scratch so

 

498

00:26:36,261 --> 00:26:38,964

it's all in-house.

 

499

00:26:38,964 --> 00:26:42,400

It is a typical cold storage type

 

500

00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:46,004

of arrangement where almost all of the coins, except for

 

501

00:26:46,004 --> 00:26:49,674

a tiny fraction or per cent or two,

 

502

00:26:49,674 --> 00:26:52,978

only a little bit is kept online for trading purposes for people who

 

503

00:26:52,978 --> 00:26:56,815

need liquidity, everything else is kept in cold storage, offline,

 

504

00:26:56,815 --> 00:27:01,286

in these secure modules.

 

505

00:27:01,286 --> 00:27:04,089

Other than that there's not a whole lot to say other than we can

 

506

00:27:04,089 --> 00:27:08,326

leverage our decades of cybersecurity expertise,

 

507

00:27:08,326 --> 00:27:12,397

our thousands of people, cybersecurity experts.

 

508

00:27:12,397 --> 00:27:15,934

That's one of the advantages we have at Fidelity, we

 

509

00:27:15,934 --> 00:27:19,371

have experience in risk management which is what a

 

510

00:27:19,371 --> 00:27:22,807

lot of these crypto-native companies don't have some of the time,

 

511

00:27:22,807 --> 00:27:24,409

and something to be aware of.

 

512

00:27:24,409 --> 00:27:28,480

Absolutely, and much rather have an army focused on the security

 

513

00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:32,017

of someone's digital assets, my digital assets, than having to worry

 

514

00:27:32,017 --> 00:27:35,687

about my own seed phrases and hardware and so

 

515

00:27:35,687 --> 00:27:39,057

on. Absolutely, see the advantage there.

 

516

00:27:39,057 --> 00:27:42,661

We're just coming up to time, Chris. Maybe we could just

 

517

00:27:42,661 --> 00:27:46,097

wrap by asking you what are the key themes, what are

 

518

00:27:46,097 --> 00:27:49,300

the key areas of the digital assets markets that you're watching

 

519

00:27:49,300 --> 00:27:52,804

right now that you think our advisor and investor audience should

 

520

00:27:52,804 --> 00:27:55,840

be watching too?

 

521

00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:59,310

Great question. We will have our 2026

 

522

00:27:59,310 --> 00:28:02,814

look-ahead, our annual look-ahead, out early next year, as

 

523

00:28:02,814 --> 00:28:06,651

we usually do. The entire research team, all six of us,

 

524

00:28:06,651 --> 00:28:10,255

we all write a piece on what we see coming, what we saw

 

525

00:28:10,255 --> 00:28:13,058

over the last year, how we think that's gonna play out.

 

526

00:28:13,058 --> 00:28:16,494

I don't want to give too much away but I think for your

 

527

00:28:16,494 --> 00:28:20,165

investor audience I think the thing to watch is

 

528

00:28:20,165 --> 00:28:23,935

how this asset class will continue to grow and mature.

 

529

00:28:23,935 --> 00:28:26,671

We are now on the world stage.

 

530

00:28:26,671 --> 00:28:30,241

We have governments, as you mentioned in this webcast,

 

531

00:28:30,241 --> 00:28:33,778

creating legislation. We've got countries adopting

 

532

00:28:33,778 --> 00:28:37,215

it. We just had last week the Czech

 

533

00:28:37,215 --> 00:28:40,752

National Bank, the central bank, put some Bitcoin

 

534

00:28:40,752 --> 00:28:43,688

in a test account to start understanding it.

 

535

00:28:43,688 --> 00:28:47,225

This is the first central bank, national bank, that has done so.

 

536

00:28:47,225 --> 00:28:50,729

Every year we get more and more signposts

 

537

00:28:50,729 --> 00:28:54,165

or milestones here of how this is being adopted, how this

 

538

00:28:54,165 --> 00:28:55,700

is not going away.

 

539

00:28:55,700 --> 00:29:00,271

I firmly believe this will continue to reshape our entire industry.

 

540

00:29:00,271 --> 00:29:04,109

Continue to watch for those things and just keep learning, keep

 

541

00:29:04,109 --> 00:29:07,946

learning about it. Everyone starts somewhere.

 

542

00:29:07,946 --> 00:29:11,683

Start asking yourself what don't I know yet, what

 

543

00:29:11,683 --> 00:29:15,520

do I still want to know, what are some of my reservations?

 

544

00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,288

That's what we're here for as well.

 

545

00:29:17,288 --> 00:29:21,426

You can find all of our research at fidelitydigitalassets.com.

 

546

00:29:21,426 --> 00:29:23,528

That's great. Chris, thanks as always.

 

547

00:29:23,528 --> 00:29:27,031

Really, really appreciate you taking the time to speak

 

548

00:29:27,031 --> 00:29:31,102

with us today. Always appreciate your insights on this constantly

 

549

00:29:31,102 --> 00:29:34,172

evolving area of the markets.

 

550

00:29:34,172 --> 00:29:35,306

My pleasure, thank you.

 

551

00:29:35,306 --> 00:29:39,244

Thanks for watching or listening to the Fidelity Connects

 

552

00:29:39,244 --> 00:29:43,381

podcast. Now if you haven't done so already, please subscribe to Fidelity

 

553

00:29:43,381 --> 00:29:46,184

Connects on your podcast platform of choice.

 

554

00:29:46,184 --> 00:29:49,020

And if you like what you're hearing, please leave a review or a five-star

 

555

00:29:49,020 --> 00:29:52,991

rating. Fidelity Mutual Funds and ETFs are available by working with

 

556

00:29:52,991 --> 00:29:56,361

a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account.

 

557

00:29:56,361 --> 00:30:00,064

Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information.

 

558

00:30:00,064 --> 00:30:03,902

While on Fidelity.ca, you can also find more information on future live

 

559

00:30:03,902 --> 00:30:08,039

webcasts. And don't forget to follow Fidelity Canada on YouTube, LinkedIn,

 

560

00:30:08,039 --> 00:30:10,041

and Instagram.

 

561

00:30:10,041 --> 00:30:12,911

We'll end today's show with a short disclaimer.

 

562

00:30:12,911 --> 00:30:16,748

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are those of the participants,

 

563

00:30:16,748 --> 00:30:20,685

and do not necessarily reflect those of Fidelity Investments Canada ULC or

 

564

00:30:20,685 --> 00:30:24,689

its affiliates. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and should not

 

565

00:30:24,689 --> 00:30:27,225

be construed as investment, tax, or legal advice.

 

566

00:30:27,225 --> 00:30:29,527

It is not an offer to sell or buy.

 

567

00:30:29,527 --> 00:30:33,865

Or an endorsement, recommendation, or sponsorship of any entity or securities

 

568

00:30:33,865 --> 00:30:38,670

cited. Read a fund's prospectus before investing, funds are not guaranteed.

 

569

00:30:38,670 --> 00:30:42,240

Their values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated.

 

570

00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:46,077

Fees, expenses, and commissions are all associated with fund investments.

 

571

00:30:46,077 --> 00:30:48,379

Thanks again. We'll see you next time.

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